Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 29

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Ascoli		Carpi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.43	4.15	6.7
	1.43	4.26	7.73
	1.43	4.14	6.75	Watch
	1.4	3.8	7
	1.44	4.31	7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.4)	4.13 ↓ (4.24)	7.04 ↓ (7.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ascoli
64.6%

Draw
22.3%

Carpi
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

21.7%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

20.2%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ascoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ascoli - Carpi Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitale S. (G) 23. Alagna M. 33. Rizzo N. 3. Nicoletti M. 17. Guiebre A. 4. Damiani S. 62. Milanese T. 25. Rizzo Pinna A. 7. Silipo A. 15. D'Uffizi S. 9. Chakir M. A.	1. Sorzi M. (G) 19. Rossini M. 6. Panelli T. 4. Zagnoni D. (C) 16. Tcheuna R. 5. Figoli M. 29. Rosetti M. 3. Rigo M. 11. Casarini F. 80. Pietra N. 10. Stanzani L.
Substitutes
24. Bando A. 46. Barosi D. (G) 41. Brzan R. (G) 18. Corazza S. 80. Corradini G. 14. Galuppini F. 35. Gori G. 19. Menna D. 6. Ndoj E. 11. Oviszach E. 2. Pagliai G. 29. Palazzino F.	44. Benvenuto M. 7. Cecotti T. 77. Gaddini M. 30. Giani E. 17. Lombardi L. 18. Mahrani Y. 12. Pasin L. 23. Sall A. 22. Scacchetti A. (G) 2. Verza N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Chakir M. A. ⚽,
11', Rossini M. 🟨,
11', Rizzo N. 🟨,
17', 2 - 0, Silipo A. ⚽,
37', Chakir M. A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tcheuna R. ↓, Verza N. ↑,
46', Rossini M. ↓, Lombardi L. ↑,
59', Milanese T. ↓, Corradini G. ↑,
65', Chakir M. A. ↓, Gori G. ↑,
66', Silipo A. ↓, Galuppini F. ↑,
69', 3 - 0, D'Uffizi S. ⚽,
71', Guiebre A. 🟨,
81', Guiebre A. ↓, Pagliai G. ↑,
81', D'Uffizi S. ↓, Oviszach E. ↑,
81', Panelli T. ↓, Benvenuto M. ↑,
82', Figoli M. ↓, Mahrani Y. ↑,
86', Corradini G. 🟨,
90+2', Benvenuto M. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ascoli won 2.

Ascoli has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Carpi has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ascoli is the clear favorite.

We predict that Ascoli will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ascoli won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ascoli won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
22.02.26	Pontedera - Ascoli	1:3 ✺
15.02.26	Bra - Ascoli	1:3 ✺
12.02.26	Ascoli - Sassari Torres	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Pineto - Ascoli	1:3 ✺
30.01.26	Ascoli - Livorno	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWTWW
- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
22.02.26	Carpi - Bra	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Perugia - Carpi	1:1 ✺
12.02.26	Carpi - Arezzo	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Ravenna - Carpi	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Carpi - Sambenedettese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
20.10.25	Carpi - Ascoli	1:1
31.01.25	Ascoli - Carpi	2:1
26.09.24	Carpi - Ascoli	2:2
Italian Serie B
02.03.19	Carpi - Ascoli	1:1
20.10.18	Ascoli - Carpi	1:0
07.04.18	Ascoli - Carpi	2:0
04.11.17	Carpi - Ascoli	4:2

Upcoming Matches