Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 28

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Armando Picchi (Livorno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Livorno		Pineto

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.18	3.15	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.25
	2.2	3.13	3.21	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3
	2.18	3.04	3.2	Watch
	2.22	3.1	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.06)	3.07 ↓ (3.32)	3.17 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livorno
41.4%

Draw
29.8%

Pineto
28.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.6%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Pineto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Livorno - Pineto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Seghetti J. (G) 15. Ghezzi S. 26. Noce M. 5. Camporese M. 54. Falasco N. 7. Luperini G. 28. Hamlili Z. 44. Bonassi L. 55. Peralta D. 9. Dionisi F. 13. Di Carmine S.	22. Tonti A. (G) 4. Postiglione N. 52. Frare D. 23. Serbouti A. 99. Pellegrino A. 8. Germinario G. 5. Schirone L. 21. Lombardi L. 11. Borsoi M. 9. D'Andrea F. 19. Biggi S.
Substitutes
49. Baldi L. 14. Biondi K. 22. Ciobanu N. D. (G) 20. Haveri K. 11. Malagrida L. 95. Marchesi F. 23. Marinari J. 77. Mawete J. C. 4. Odjer M. 17. Panaioli L. 1. Tani F. (G) 19. Vayrynen T.	6. Amadio S. 17. Baggi F. 80. El Haddad S. 16. Gagliardi L. 35. Giannini D. 3. Ienco S. 1. Marone F. (G) 7. Marrancone A. 28. Nebuloso G. 10. Spina M. 12. Verna A. (G) 18. Viero F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Falasco N. 🟨,
12', Hamlili Z. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Di Carmine S. ⚽,
41', Pellegrino A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Di Carmine S. ↓, Malagrida L. ↑,
60', Pellegrino A. ↓, Marrancone A. ↑,
60', Biggi S. ↓, Spina M. ↑,
65', Peralta D. ↓, Marchesi F. ↑,
65', Dionisi F. ↓, Vayrynen T. ↑,
76', Luperini G. 🟨,
77', Serbouti A. 🟨,
82', Germinario G. ↓, Nebuloso G. ↑,
82', Serbouti A. ↓, Gagliardi L. ↑,
82', Falasco N. ↓, Haveri K. ↑,
84', Bonassi L. ↓, Panaioli L. ↑,
88', Borsoi M. ↓, Ienco S. ↑,
89', Nebuloso G. 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Livorno has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pineto has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Livorno may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Livorno could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Livorno won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Livorno	10	4	4	2	15:14	1	16
15	Pineto	10	2	5	3	8:11	-3	11

Last Results with these Odds

Pineto - the odds 3.32 are the expected chance of winning is 27.69%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group B
15.02.26	Livorno - Pianese	1:2 ✺
12.02.26	Campobasso - Livorno	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Livorno - Bra	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Ascoli - Livorno	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Livorno - Vis Pesaro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWLW
- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
16.02.26	Pineto - Ternana	0:3 ✺
08.02.26	Pineto - Ascoli	1:3 ✺
01.02.26	Juventus U23 - Pineto	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Pineto - Campobasso	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Pontedera - Pineto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
11.10.25	Pineto - Livorno	3:0

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