Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 38

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Sandro Cabassi (Carpi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 259


	Carpi		Sestri Levante

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.2	1.85
	3.25	3.2	2.17
	3.29	3.1	2.29
	3.37	3.03	2.28
	3.29	3.02	2.16
	3.25	3.2	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (2.94)	3.13 ↑ (3.1)	2.15 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carpi
27.4%

Draw
29.6%

Sestri Levante
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

29.6%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

28.4%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Sestri Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carpi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestri Levante than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sestri Levante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Carpi - Sestri Levante Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sestri Levante (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Theiner D. (G) 16. Tcheuna R. 19. Rossini M. 5. Calanca A. 77. Visani R. 70. Campagna S. 4. Mandelli A. 90. Figoli M. 20. Puletto F. 72. Cortesi M. 23. Sall A.	22. Fusco E. (G) 95. Primasso A. 5. Valentini N. 43. Montebugnoli M. 27. Podda L. 10. Clemenza L. 25. Nunziatini F. 18. Rosetti M. 3. Furno C. 77. Piu A. 7. Durmush M.
Substitutes
11. Amayah P. 3. Cecotti T. 30. Contiliano N. 14. Fossati D. 27. Gerbi E. 12. Lorenzi C. (G) 13. Panelli T. 36. Rigo M. 10. Saporetti S. 1. Sorzi M. (G) 7. Stanzani L. 2. Verza N.	6. Brunet J. 29. Di Giorgio R. 58. Fedele M. 28. Giorno F. 17. Goglino P. A. 99. Guadagno J. (G) 23. Nenci O. 9. Parravicini N. 19. Pavanello A. 86. Raggio G. S. 12. Sias F. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Figoli M. 🟨,
33', Durmush M. 🟨,
42', Sall A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Durmush M. ↓, Parravicini N. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Clemenza L. ⚽,
60', Rossini M. 🟨,
61', Figoli M. ↓, Stanzani L. ↑,
61', Visani R. ↓, Rigo M. ↑,
70', Tcheuna R. ↓, Cecotti T. ↑,
77', Montebugnoli M. 🟨,
78', Clemenza L. ↓, Brunet J. ↑,
80', 0 - 2, Valentini N. ⚽,
81', Cortesi M. ↓, Fossati D. ↑,
81', Theiner D. ↓, Lorenzi C. ↑,
85', Furno C. ↓, Giorno F. ↑,
87', Lorenzi C. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Carpi is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sestri Levante is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Carpi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sestri Levante is a favorite.

There will not play in Carpi: Amayah P. (Inactive) Forapani M. (Knee Injury) Fossati D. (Inactive) Tcheuna R. (Inactive) Verza N. (Inactive) Zagnoni D. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Sestri Levante: Oneto E. (Inactive) Pane M. (Inactive)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Carpi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
23.04.25	Sassari Torres - Carpi	4:2 ✺
14.04.25	Carpi - Legnago Salus	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	Ternana - Carpi	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Carpi - Gubbio	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Campobasso - Carpi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 LTWLL
- USD Sestri Levante 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
23.04.25	Sestri Levante - Ascoli	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Perugia - Sestri Levante	2:2 ✺
05.04.25	Sestri Levante - Milan Futuro	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Rimini - Sestri Levante	4:2 ✺
23.03.25	Sestri Levante - Pescara	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
14.12.24	Sestri Levante - Carpi	1:3

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