Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 22

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 255


	Ascoli		Virtus Entella

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.75	2.45
	2.85	2.5	2.43
	3.25	2.84	2.43	Watch
	2.9	2.75	2.5
	2.91	2.85	2.47	Watch
	2.85	2.5	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (3.04)	2.7 ↓ (2.94)	2.45 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascoli
30.4%

Draw
33.1%

Virtus Entella
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

30.3%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

31.9%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Virtus Entella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Virtus Entella could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	57.1%	14.3%

Ascoli - Virtus Entella Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Virtus Entella will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Raffaelli M. (G) 23. Alagna M. 19. Menna D. 13. Piermarini M. 3. Maurizii E. 10. Marsura D. 24. Bando A. 8. Varone I. 32. Tremolada L. 9. Forte F. 18. Corazza S.	22. Del Frate F. (G) 23. Parodi L. (C) 6. Tiritiello A. 15. Marconi I. 70. Bariti D. 14. Corbari A. 47. Di Noia G. 24. Franzoni A. 26. Di Mario S. 77. Guiu B. 9. Castelli D.
Substitutes
6. Adjapong C. 5. Bertini M. 77. Caccavo L. 27. Cozzoli F. 2. Curado M. 15. D'Uffizi S. 67. Gagliardi M. 1. Livieri A. (G) 25. Maiga Silvestri Y. 85. Sciammarella L. (G) 7. Silipo A. 44. Tavcar A. 11. Tirelli M.	10. Casarotto M. 40. Costa G. 2. Garattoni A. 8. Karic N. 21. Lipani J. 43. Ndrecka A. 1. Paroni A. (G) 90. Portanova D. 29. Santini C. 99. Siaulys O. (G) 7. Tomaselli G. 32. Zappella D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Corbari A. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Bariti D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Di Noia G. ↓, Lipani J. ↑,
66', Corbari A. ↓, Karic N. ↑,
70', Bando A. ↓, Bertini M. ↑,
70', Tremolada L. ↓, Silipo A. ↑,
72', Guiu B. ↓, Casarotto M. ↑,
73', Bariti D. ↓, Zappella D. ↑,
80', Forte F. ↓, Caccavo L. ↑,
82', Bertini M. 🟨,
87', Castelli D. ↓, Santini C. ↑,
87', Maurizii E. ↓, Adjapong C. ↑,
88', Marsura D. ↓, Tirelli M. ↑,
90', Tirelli M. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 1.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Virtus Entella will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:16 (average 0.8:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
06.01.25	Pianese - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
20.12.24	Ascoli - SPAL	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Legnago Salus - Ascoli	0:1 ✺
06.12.24	Ascoli - Sestri Levante	4:1 ✺
01.12.24	Sassari Torres - Ascoli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TTWWW
- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie C Group B
06.01.25	Virtus Entella - Rimini	2:1 ✺
22.12.24	Milan Futuro - Virtus Entella	1:2 ✺
15.12.24	Ternana - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Virtus Entella - Pineto	4:1 ✺
02.12.24	Arezzo - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
09.09.24	Virtus Entella - Ascoli	2:1
Italian Serie B
06.03.21	Virtus Entella - Ascoli	0:0
22.11.20	Ascoli - Virtus Entella	1:1
08.03.20	Virtus Entella - Ascoli	3:0
25.10.19	Ascoli - Virtus Entella	2:1
31.05.18	Ascoli - Virtus Entella	0:0
24.05.18	Virtus Entella - Ascoli	0:0

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