The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ternana 45.7%
Draw 30.4%
Virtus Entella 23.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.7%
29.6%
22.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.4%
28%
21.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Ternana - Virtus Entella Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
62. Vannucchi G. (G) 3. Tito F. 6. Loiacono G. 87. Martella B. 15. Casasola T. (C) 70. Romeo F. 5. Corradini G. 8. de Boer K. 20. Donati F. 10. Cicerelli E. 71. Cianci P.
22. Del Frate F. (G) 23. Parodi L. (C) 6. Tiritiello A. 15. Marconi I. 70. Bariti D. 14. Corbari A. 47. Di Noia G. 24. Franzoni A. 26. Di Mario S. 10. Casarotto M. 77. Guiu B.
Substitutes
17. Aloi S. 56. Bellavigna M. 19. Capuano M. 32. Carboni M. 11. Curcio A. 99. Donnarumma A. 9. Ferrante A. 13. Maestrelli A. 7. Patane N. 1. Vitali T. (G)
40. Costa G. 2. Garattoni A. 21. Lipani J. 16. Manzi C. 43. Ndrecka A. 1. Paroni A. (G) 90. Portanova D. 29. Santini C. 8. Siatounis A. 99. Siaulys O. (G) 7. Tomaselli G. 32. Zappella D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Casasola T. 🟨,
18', Corbari A. 🟨,
23', Vannucchi G. 🟥,
25', Corradini G. ↓, Vitali T. ↑,
27', Romeo F. 🟨,
29', Cianci P. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Guiu B. ⚽,
45+2', Marconi I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Corbari A. ↓, Lipani J. ↑,
49', Di Mario S. 🟨,
53', Franzoni A. 🟨,
68', Di Mario S. ↓, Manzi C. ↑,
71', Tiritiello A. 🟨,
72', Cicerelli E. ↓, Ferrante A. ↑,
76', Del Frate F. 🟨,
79', Tito F. ↓, Curcio A. ↑,
85', Di Noia G. ↓, Siatounis A. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Aloi S. ⚽,
90+1', Bariti D. ↓, Zappella D. ↑,
90+1', Casarotto M. ↓, Tomaselli G. ↑,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ternana won 1.
One and the other team during the last matches got a chain of wins.
Ternana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Ternana is a favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Ternana won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:12 (average 1.1:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Ternana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1:1).
Italy
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Vannucchi G. (G) 
Casasola T. (C) 
de Boer K. 
Guiu B. 
Ndrecka A. 
Siatounis A. 
Siaulys O. (G) 
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