Match Info

Date: 3 April 2021, Saturday


	Carrarese		Como

	1	X	2
	3	2.87	2.4
	3.25	2.8	2.25
	2.88	2.88	2.4
	3.05	2.7	2.4
	3.19	2.88	2.54
	3.1	3	2.35
	3.1	2.9	2.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.93)	2.86 ↓ (2.88)	2.39 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrarese
29.7%

Draw
32%

Como
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

31.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

23.2%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carrarese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Como could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Carrarese - Como Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion to Serie B).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Como will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Carrarese won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
28.03.21	Pergolettese - Carrarese	2:0 ✺
21.03.21	Carrarese - Giana Erminio	0:2 ✺
13.03.21	Carrarese - Livorno	4:2 ✺
07.03.21	Renate - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
04.03.21	Carrarese - Grosseto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWTT
- Calcio Como
Italian Serie C Group A
27.03.21	Como - Pontedera	4:2 ✺
21.03.21	Piacenza - Como	1:0 ✺
17.03.21	Como - AlbinoLeffe	1:2 ✺
14.03.21	Pro Vercelli - Como	1:1 ✺
07.03.21	Como - Pro Sesto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
12.12.20	Como - Carrarese	2:1
23.10.19	Carrarese - Como	2:0
01.04.17	Como - Carrarese	2:2
13.11.16	Carrarese - Como	3:1
Italian Lega Pro C1/A
27.04.14	Carrarese - Como	3:0
15.12.13	Como - Carrarese	1:1

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