Match Info

Date: 28 March 2021, Sunday


	Pergolettese		Carrarese

	1	X	2
	3	2.87	2.3
	3.1	2.9	2.25
	3.05	2.88	2.3
	3	2.75	2.39
	3.27	2.84	2.52
	3	3	2.45
	2.95	2.93	2.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.51)	2.88 ↑ (2.87)	2.39 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pergolettese
30%

Draw
31.8%

Carrarese
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

31.4%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

21.6%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pergolettese's form might have worsened.

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carrarese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (+22.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pergolettese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carrarese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pergolettese - Carrarese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 11).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Carrarese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pergolettese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
25.03.21	Juventus U23 - Pergolettese	2:4 ✺
10.03.21	Pro Sesto - Pergolettese	0:2 ✺
07.03.21	Pergolettese - Olbia	0:3 ✺
03.03.21	Pro Vercelli - Pergolettese	1:0 ✺
28.02.21	Pergolettese - Livorno	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWLLW
- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
21.03.21	Carrarese - Giana Erminio	0:2 ✺
13.03.21	Carrarese - Livorno	4:2 ✺
07.03.21	Renate - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
04.03.21	Carrarese - Grosseto	0:0 ✺
01.03.21	Alessandria - Carrarese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
06.12.20	Carrarese - Pergolettese	1:2
13.10.19	Carrarese - Pergolettese	3:0

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