Match Info

Date: 21 March 2021, Sunday


	Carrarese		Giana Erminio

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	4
	1.95	3	3.8
	1.9	3	3.9
	1.93	3.37	4.14
	1.95	3.2	4
	1.94	3.32	3.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.01)	3.15 ↑ (3)	3.95 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrarese
47.6%

Draw
29.2%

Giana Erminio
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

30.2%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

20.3%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Giana Erminio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carrarese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Giana Erminio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Carrarese - Giana Erminio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 17 in the zone Serie C to Play Out).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Carrarese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Carrarese will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Carrarese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
13.03.21	Carrarese - Livorno	4:2 ✺
07.03.21	Renate - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
04.03.21	Carrarese - Grosseto	0:0 ✺
01.03.21	Alessandria - Carrarese	1:0 ✺
21.02.21	Carrarese - Novara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTTLL
- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
17.03.21	Giana Erminio - Lucchese	4:3 ✺
13.03.21	Pontedera - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
07.03.21	Giana Erminio - Livorno	1:0 ✺
03.03.21	Piacenza - Giana Erminio	0:0 ✺
27.02.21	Giana Erminio - Pro Vercelli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
29.11.20	Giana Erminio - Carrarese	1:2
02.02.20	Carrarese - Giana Erminio	1:4
23.09.19	Giana Erminio - Carrarese	1:1
03.03.18	Carrarese - Giana Erminio	2:2
15.10.17	Giana Erminio - Carrarese	2:2
23.12.16	Carrarese - Giana Erminio	0:4
28.08.16	Giana Erminio - Carrarese	2:1

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