Match Info

Date: 13 March 2021, Saturday


	Carrarese		Livorno

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.25	3.8
	1.95	3.1	3.7
	1.75	3.2	4.4
	1.92	2.85	4.1
	1.97	3.13	4.47
	1.95	3	4.33
	1.92	2.83	4.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.92)	3.05 ↓ (3.15)	4.25 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrarese
48.2%

Draw
30.2%

Livorno
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

28.7%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

21.9%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carrarese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Carrarese - Livorno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Carrarese is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Livorno has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Carrarese is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Carrarese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
07.03.21	Renate - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
04.03.21	Carrarese - Grosseto	0:0 ✺
01.03.21	Alessandria - Carrarese	1:0 ✺
21.02.21	Carrarese - Novara	1:2 ✺
17.02.21	Pistoiese - Carrarese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTLLW
- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group A
07.03.21	Giana Erminio - Livorno	1:0 ✺
04.03.21	Livorno - Alessandria	0:1 ✺
28.02.21	Pergolettese - Livorno	1:0 ✺
21.02.21	Livorno - Renate	0:1 ✺
17.02.21	Novara - Livorno	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
14.11.20	Livorno - Carrarese	1:2
28.04.18	Livorno - Carrarese	1:1
10.12.17	Carrarese - Livorno	2:3
22.01.17	Carrarese - Livorno	0:2
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.11.16	Livorno - Carrarese	0:1 penalties
Italian Serie C Group A
11.09.16	Livorno - Carrarese	1:0
Club Friendly
29.08.15	Carrarese - Livorno	2:2

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