The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carrarese 60.5%
Draw 23.8%
Pergolettese 15.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.1%
26.8%
19.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.9%
21.4%
15.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carrarese's performance.
Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carrarese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Carrarese - Pergolettese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 16 in the zone Serie C to Play Out).
Carrarese is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Pergolettese is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Pergolettese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Carrarese is a favorite.
Pergolettese is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Last 1 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.
Including matches at home between the teams Carrarese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.