Match Info

Date: 6 December 2020, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Carrarese		Pergolettese

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.5	6
	1.5	3.9	5.25
	1.45	4.2	5.5
	1.53	3.6	5.4
	1.52	3.99	6.23
	1.53	3.7	6.5
	1.52	3.98	5.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.67)	3.84 ↑ (3.37)	5.81 ↑ (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrarese
60.5%

Draw
23.8%

Pergolettese
15.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.1%

26.8%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

21.4%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carrarese's performance.

Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carrarese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Carrarese - Pergolettese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 16 in the zone Serie C to Play Out).

Carrarese is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pergolettese is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pergolettese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Carrarese is a favorite.

Pergolettese is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Last 1 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Carrarese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
29.11.20	Giana Erminio - Carrarese	1:2 ✺
22.11.20	Carrarese - Olbia	3:0 ✺
14.11.20	Livorno - Carrarese	1:2 ✺
11.11.20	Carrarese - Renate	0:2 ✺
07.11.20	Grosseto - Carrarese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWLW
- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
02.12.20	Pergolettese - Juventus U23	1:3 ✺
28.11.20	Pergolettese - Renate	0:2 ✺
25.11.20	Pergolettese - Pro Vercelli	1:2 ✺
22.11.20	Lecco - Pergolettese	3:2 ✺
11.11.20	Olbia - Pergolettese	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
13.10.19	Carrarese - Pergolettese	3:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
01.11.26	Verona - Carrarese	✺
28.10.26	Carrarese - Arezzo	✺
- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
30.10.26	AlbinoLeffe - Pergolettese	✺

Carrarese - Pergolettese