Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 22

Date: 15 January 2023, Sunday


	Carrarese		San Donato Tavarnelle

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.2	3.4
	1.91	3.05	3.8
	1.93	3.1	3.45
	1.85	3.39	3.29
	2	3	3.7
	1.96	3.14	3.78	Watch
	1.84	3.45	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.84)	3.19 ↑ (3.01)	3.59 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrarese
46.8%

Draw
28.1%

San Donato Tavarnelle
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

29.8%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

30.5%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

San Donato Tavarnelle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Donato Tavarnelle than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	7.1%	0%

Carrarese - San Donato Tavarnelle Predictions

Users Predictions: Carrarese will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Carrarese is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches San Donato is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carrarese will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
08.01.23	Recanatese - Carrarese	4:2 ✺
23.12.22	Carrarese - Cesena	1:1 ✺
17.12.22	Carrarese - Vis Pesaro	3:0 ✺
10.12.22	Lucchese - Carrarese	3:2 ✺
03.12.22	Carrarese - Sassari Torres	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTWLL
- San Donato Tavarnelle
Italian Serie C Group B
08.01.23	San Donato Tavarnelle - Sassari Torres	1:3 ✺
23.12.22	Rimini - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:2 ✺
17.12.22	Fiorenzuola - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:2 ✺
10.12.22	San Donato Tavarnelle - Imolese	0:0 ✺
03.12.22	Cesena - San Donato Tavarnelle	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
14.09.22	San Donato Tavarnelle - Carrarese	1:2

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