Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 28

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Plantío (Burgos)

Referee: Guzman J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion


	Burgos		Real Oviedo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	2.6	2.5
	3.34	2.76	2.69
				Watch
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.78)	2.68 ↓ (2.83)	2.6 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
29.1%

Draw
34.9%

Real Oviedo
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

32.7%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

34%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burgos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.8%	52.6%	10.5%

Burgos - Real Oviedo Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Oviedo will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 52.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Cantero A. (G) 4. Arroyo A. 8. Sierra G. 3. Miguel F. 21. Cordoba I. 15. Bares G. 5. Atienza M. 11. Alex 16. Curro 10. Sanchez B. 9. Nino F.	13. Escandell A. (G) 5. Vidal N. 4. Costas D. 12. Calvo D. (C) 21. Pomares C. 20. Seoane J. 17. de la Hoz C. 11. Colombatto S. 23. Hassan H. 9. Alemao 16. Chaira I.
Substitutes
28. Cantero M. 22. Elady 19. Espiau Hernandez E. D. 33. Exposito M. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 2. Konan G. 17. Mimbacas F. 23. Morante I. 1. Nadal T. (G) 7. Ojeda D. 20. Pipa 46. Quintanilla R.	24. Ahijado L. 3. Alhassane R. 1. Braat Q. (G) 27. Cardero A. 15. Luengo O. 7. Moyano F. 14. Paraschiv D. 10. Portillo F. 6. Sibo K. 19. Vinas F.
Coaches
Ramis L.	Calleja J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, Sanchez B. ⚽, Alex (A),
39', de la Hoz C. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Alemao ⚽, Seoane J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bares G. ↓, Quintanilla R. ↑,
46', Hassan H. ↓, Moyano F. ↑,
46', de la Hoz C. ↓, Sibo K. ↑,
55', 1 - 2, Calvo D. ⚽,
57', Sanchez B. ↓, Elady ↑,
57', Nino F. ↓, Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↑,
70', Seoane J. ↓, Luengo O. ↑,
74', Cordoba I. ↓, Konan G. ↑,
79', Chaira I. ↓, Portillo F. ↑,
85', Sierra G. 🟨,
86', Atienza M. ↓, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↑,
86', Alemao ↓, Paraschiv D. ↑,
90+3', Miguel F. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Burgos won 2.

Recent matches Burgos is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oviedo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Burgos: Aitor Cordoba (Yellow Cards) Appin K. (Knee Injury) Navarro R. (Injury)

There will not play in Oviedo: Cazorla S. (Injury) Chukwuma E. (Injury) Lemos A. (Injury) Vinas F. (Muscle Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Burgos won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 9:18 (average 0.8:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Burgos won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
16.02.25	Zaragoza - Burgos	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Burgos - Racing Santander	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Sporting de Gijón - Burgos	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	Burgos - Deportivo A Coruña	0:1 ✺
10.01.25	Granada - Burgos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWLLT
- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2
16.02.25	Real Oviedo - Albacete Balompié	1:0 ✺
10.02.25	Real Oviedo - Eldense	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	Almería - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Real Oviedo - Castellón	1:0 ✺
17.01.25	Cartagena - Real Oviedo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
03.11.24	Real Oviedo - Burgos	3:1
17.02.24	Real Oviedo - Burgos	5:0
26.08.23	Burgos - Real Oviedo	1:0
12.02.23	Real Oviedo - Burgos	0:1
10.09.22	Burgos - Real Oviedo	0:0
Club Friendly
27.07.22	Real Oviedo - Burgos	0:1
Spanish LaLiga2
20.02.22	Burgos - Real Oviedo	0:1

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