Match Info

Date: 7 May 2022, Saturday


	Casa Pia		Vilafranquense

	1	X	2
	1.28	4.75	9.5
	1.31	4.5	8.5
	1.32	4.5	8.5
	1.3	4.8	10
	1.33	5.12	11.31
	1.3	4.2	9.5
	1.31	4.75	9.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.41)	4.66 ↑ (4.19)	9.59 ↑ (7.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casa Pia
70.6%

Draw
19.8%

Vilafranquense
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

22.1%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5%

24.7%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casa Pia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Vilafranquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilafranquense than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	6.7%	13.3%

Casa Pia - Vilafranquense Predictions

Users Predictions: Casa Pia will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 4.

Recent matches Casa Pia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vilafranquense is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Casa Pia is certain favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Casa Pia won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casa Pia
Portuguese Liga 2
01.05.22	Rio Ave - Casa Pia	1:0 ✺
23.04.22	Casa Pia - Estrela da Amadora	3:0 ✺
15.04.22	Varzim - Casa Pia	1:0 ✺
09.04.22	Casa Pia - Farense	1:0 ✺
03.04.22	Académica Coimbra - Casa Pia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLWW
- UD Vilafranquense
Portuguese Liga 2
01.05.22	Vilafranquense - Benfica B	1:2 ✺
24.04.22	Porto B - Vilafranquense	0:1 ✺
16.04.22	Feirense - Vilafranquense	1:1 ✺
09.04.22	Vilafranquense - Académico de Viseu	2:1 ✺
03.04.22	Estrela da Amadora - Vilafranquense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
03.01.22	Vilafranquense - Casa Pia	0:2
13.03.21	Casa Pia - Vilafranquense	3:0
24.10.20	Vilafranquense - Casa Pia	2:2
02.11.19	Casa Pia - Vilafranquense	3:2
Portuguese League Cup
28.07.19	Casa Pia - Vilafranquense	1:0 penalties
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
23.06.19	Vilafranquense - Casa Pia	2:3 penalties
Taça de Portugal
15.10.17	Vilafranquense - Casa Pia	2:1 ET

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