Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 11

Date: 31 October 2022, Monday

Location: Estádio José Gomes (Amadora)

Referee: Vasilica I. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Estrela da Amadora		Vilafranquense

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.75
	2.4	3	2.7
	2.55	3.2	2.55
	2.44	3.15	2.75
	2.58	3.32	2.91
	2.5	2.9	2.75
	2.47	3.2	2.7
	2.46	3.2	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.61)	3.13 ↑ (3.11)	2.74 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrela da Amadora
37.1%

Draw
29.3%

Vilafranquense
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

30.4%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

30.8%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Vilafranquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilafranquense than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.6%	44.8%	27.6%

Estrela da Amadora - Vilafranquense Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 8 - 27.6%). Vilafranquense will win (votes: 8 - 27.6%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 44.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 62.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 8).

Recent matches Estrela is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vilafranquense has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Estrela could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Estrela won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Estrela won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela da Amadora
Portuguese Liga 2
23.10.22	Mafra - Estrela da Amadora	2:2 ✺
15.10.22	Estrela da Amadora - Covilhã	2:1 ✺
08.10.22	Torreense - Estrela da Amadora	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
01.10.22	Oliveira Hospital - Estrela da Amadora	2:1 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
18.09.22	Estrela da Amadora - Leixões	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWLLT
- UD Vilafranquense
Portuguese Liga 2
23.10.22	Vilafranquense - Académico de Viseu	1:3 ✺
19.10.22	Nacional - Vilafranquense	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
14.10.22	Moreirense - Vilafranquense	3:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
08.10.22	Vilafranquense - Penafiel	0:1 ✺
18.09.22	Farense - Vilafranquense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
03.04.22	Estrela da Amadora - Vilafranquense	0:1
05.11.21	Vilafranquense - Estrela da Amadora	2:2

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