Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 10

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Alberto Pinto (Caserta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257


	Casertana		Siracusa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.25	4.15
	1.96	3.19	4.85
	2.00	3.17	3.83	Watch
	1.87	3.14	4.08	Watch
	1.65	3.6	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.68)	3.27 ↓ (3.65)	4.26 ↓ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casertana
49.8%

Draw
28.4%

Siracusa
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

25%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

24.3%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casertana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Siracusa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casertana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siracusa than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Casertana - Siracusa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. De Lucia V. (G) 18. Oukhadda S. 13. Bacchetti L. (C) 33. Rocchi G. 94. Liotti D. 25. Toscano M. 16. Pezzella S. 6. Heinz J. 9. Kallon Y. 91. Vano M. 20. Bentivegna A.	22. Farroni A. (G) 2. Puzone M. 5. Pacciardi F. 25. Bonacchi C. 3. Cancellieri D. 17. Candiano M. (C) 28. Frisenna G. 7. Guadagni G. 24. Limonelli C. 19. Valente N. 9. Molina J. I.
Substitutes
51. Arzillo V. 77. Capasso C. 90. Casarotto M. 21. Di Tommaso L. 3. Falasca M. 11. Galletta U. 28. Giugno L. 4. Kontek I. 10. Leone K. 5. Llano Massa M. T. 12. Merolla E. (G) 22. Vilardi A. (G)	27. Ba R. 12. Bonucci B. (G) 11. Capanni L. 23. Catena E. M. 14. Contini G. 77. Di Paolo S. 13. Falla R. 6. Frosali J. 20. Gudelevicius E. 30. Morreale M. 10. Parigini V. 4. Sapola M. 33. Zanini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Bonacchi C. 🟨,
36', Vano M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kontek I. ↓, Llano Massa M. T. ↑,
46', Kallon Y. ↓, Casarotto M. ↑,
62', Guadagni G. ↓, Parigini V. ↑,
62', Bonacchi C. ↓, Sapola M. ↑,
68', Toscano M. ↓, Leone K. ↑,
75', Parigini V. 🟨,
75', Liotti D. 🟨,
76', 1 - 0, Bentivegna A. ⚽,
77', Frisenna G. ↓, Contini G. ↑,
85', Liotti D. ↓, Di Tommaso L. ↑,
85', Candiano M. ↓, Gudelevicius E. ↑,
85', Valente N. ↓, Capanni L. ↑,
88', Bentivegna A. ↓, Falasca M. ↑,
90+5', Molina J. I. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casertana won 3.

In recent matches, Casertana has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Siracusa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Casertana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Casertana is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Casertana won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Casertana won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C
11.10.25	Picerno - Casertana	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Casertana - Casarano	0:3 ✺
28.09.25	Crotone - Casertana	0:1 ✺
24.09.25	Foggia - Casertana	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Casertana - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WLWTT
- Siracusa Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
12.10.25	Siracusa - Sorrento	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Catania - Siracusa	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Siracusa - Nuova Cosenza	0:1 ✺
24.09.25	Siracusa - Potenza	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Crotone - Siracusa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
14.04.19	Casertana - Siracusa	2:1
12.12.18	Siracusa - Casertana	0:0
11.03.18	Siracusa - Casertana	0:1
21.10.17	Casertana - Siracusa	0:1
Italian Lega Pro - Promotion
14.05.17	Siracusa - Casertana	0:2
Italian Serie C Group C
05.04.17	Siracusa - Casertana	2:1
20.11.16	Casertana - Siracusa	2:0

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