Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 26

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Castalia (Castellón de la Plana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App
Argentina	DAZN, Disney+
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Brazil	Disney+
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DAZN
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 2
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Paraguay	DAZN
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	DAZN, Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DAZN, Disney+


	Castellón		Deportivo A Coruña

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.7	3.7	4.55	Watch
	1.72	3.87	5.01
	1.69	3.89	4.91	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.6
	1.74	3.81	4.89	Watch
	1.66	3.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.83)	3.77 ↑ (3.44)	4.78 ↑ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellón
55.4%

Draw
25%

Deportivo A Coruña
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

27.1%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

25.9%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Deportivo A Coruña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	16.7%	8.3%

Castellón - Deportivo A Coruña Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). Deportivo will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 56% – 91.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Deportivo (4.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Castellón (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Castellón will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Castellón (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Deportivo (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Matthys R. (G) 22. Mellot J. 5. Jimenez A. (C) 4. Sienra A. 12. Alcazar L. 10. Suero I. 8. Barri 15. Gerenabarrena B. 16. Cipenga B. 9. Camara O. 21. Calatrava A.	25. Fernandez A. (G) 2. Altimira A. 4. Noubi L. 15. Loureiro M. 12. Quagliata G. 21. Soriano M. 14. Rodriguez R. 20. Jurado J. (C) 11. Mella D. 10. Hernandez Y. 9. Eddahchouri Z.
Substitutes
1. Abedzadeh A. (G) 3. Brignani F. 26. Catala R. 29. De Nipoti T. 6. Doue M. 23. Garcia A. 7. Mabil A. 25. Ronaldo 17. Ruiz S. 14. Sanchez R. 18. Santiago P. 2. Tincho	5. Barcia D. 3. Comas A. 19. Cruz Luismi 18. Escudero S. 16. Gragera J. 17. Herrera C. 7. Mulattieri S. 23. Navarro X. 1. Parreno G. (G) 6. Patino C. 22. Stoichkov 8. Villares D.
Coaches
Hernandez P.	Hidalgo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Camara O. ⚽, Calatrava A. (A),
29', Barri 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Quagliata G. 🟨,
60', Suero I. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Calatrava A. ⚽,
64', Jurado J. ↓, Cruz Luismi ↑,
64', Eddahchouri Z. ↓, Mulattieri S. ↑,
66', Sienra A. 🟨,
73', Barri ↓, Doue M. ↑,
74', Altimira A. ↓, Navarro X. ↑,
74', Quagliata G. ↓, Stoichkov ↑,
78', Loureiro M. 🟨,
79', Rodriguez R. ↓, Villares D. ↑,
83', Camara O. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
84', Sienra A. ↓, Brignani F. ↑,
84', Cipenga B. ↓, Santiago P. ↑,
86', Mella D. 🟨,
90+2', Doue M. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 1.

Castellón is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Deportivo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Castellón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Castellón is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.9:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Castellón won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:9. (average 2.7:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Castellon	9	6	2	1	15:4	11	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
08.02.26	Valladolid - Castellón	0:4 ✺
01.02.26	Castellón - FC Andorra	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Zaragoza - Castellón	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Castellón - Leganés	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Granada - Castellón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWTWT
- Deportivo A Coruña
Spanish LaLiga2
08.02.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Albacete Balompié	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Leonesa - Deportivo A Coruña	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Racing Santander	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Almería - Deportivo A Coruña	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.01.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Atlético Madrid	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
07.12.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Castellón	1:3
17.03.25	Castellón - Deportivo A Coruña	2:2
19.12.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Castellón	5:1
Primera RFEF Play Offs
02.06.24	Castellón - Deportivo A Coruña	2:4
29.05.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Castellón	2:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.06.23	Castellón - Deportivo A Coruña	4:3 ET
04.06.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Castellón	1:0

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