Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 7

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday


	Castellón		Real Madrid Castilla

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	4.75
	1.61	3.6	4.5
	1.63	4	4.75	Watch
	1.66	3.9	4.82
	1.62	3.85	4.9
	1.63	3.75	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.82)	3.82 ↑ (3.2)	4.72 ↑ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellón
56.4%

Draw
24.1%

Real Madrid Castilla
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

28.7%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

27.8%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castellón's performance.

Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Castellón - Real Madrid Castilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Crettaz G. (G) 16. Sanchez M. 18. Indias I. 14. Gil O. 17. Ruiz S. 23. Calavera J. 19. Villahermosa D. 7. Moyita S. 4. Medunjanin H. 10. Sanchez R. 9. de Miguel J.	1. Canizares L. (G) 2. Tobias V. 15. Pujol E. 5. Marvel 16. Asencio R. 10. Paz N. 6. Martin M. 8. Zidane T. 20. Angel M. 17. Garcia G. 9. Rodriguez A.
Substitutes
3. Anton J. 12. Chirino D. 11. De Leon J. 28. Fale M. 8. Gracia J. 2. Granero B. 20. Gronning S. 6. Rodriguez C. 24. Schwake B. (G) 22. Suero I. 35. Torner Rosell S. (G) 33. Vertrouwd J.	24. de Luis M. (G) 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 11. Gonzalez P. 7. Lopez N. 23. Munoz V. 3. Obrador R. 22. Palacios C. 25. Ramon J.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 10).

Castellón in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Real Madrid Castilla is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Castellón is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Castellón to win the game is with odds 1.64.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Castellón won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Castellón won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
30.09.23	Castellón - Mérida AD	5:1 ✺
23.09.23	Recreativo Huelva - Castellón	0:3 ✺
17.09.23	Antequera - Castellón	1:1 ✺
10.09.23	Castellón - Intercity	3:1 ✺
03.09.23	Melilla - Castellón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWTWW
- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
30.09.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Recreativo Huelva	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Mérida AD - Real Madrid Castilla	0:1 ✺
16.09.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Madrid B	2:2 ✺
09.09.23	Linares Deportivo - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1 ✺
03.09.23	Antequera - Real Madrid Castilla	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.03.22	Castellón - Real Madrid Castilla	3:0
05.12.21	Real Madrid Castilla - Castellón	1:2

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