Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 21

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Castellon B		Atlético Baleares

	1	X	2
	4.15	3.9	1.62
	3.96	3.9	1.78
	4.39	4.08	1.63	Watch
	3.8	3.5	1.75
	4.05	3.9	1.77
	4.33	4	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↑ (3.24)	3.88 ↑ (3.41)	1.7 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellon B
22.3%

Draw
23.6%

Atlético Baleares
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

26.5%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

25.6%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellon B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castellon B's form might have worsened.

Atlético Baleares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Baleares's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellon B than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Baleares, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Castellon B - Atlético Baleares Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Tovar J. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Catala R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 2 - 1, Segura C. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

In recent matches, Castellon B has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Baleares is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Castellon B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Baleares is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Castellon B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Castellon B	5	4	0	1	12:5	7	12
13	Baleares	5	1	2	2	6:9	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
25.01.26	Reus FC Reddis - Castellon B	2:3 ✺
17.01.26	Castellon B - Atlètic Lleida	2:2 ✺
11.01.26	Alcoyano - Castellon B	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Castellon B - Andratx	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Sant Andreu - Castellon B	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WTTTL
- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
25.01.26	Atlético Baleares - Torrent	5:1 ✺
18.01.26	Girona B - Atlético Baleares	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Atlético Baleares - Barbastro	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Olot - Atlético Baleares	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Atlético Baleares - Barcelona B	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
06.09.25	Atlético Baleares - Castellon B	3:0

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