Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 32

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday


	Castellonense		Atlético Saguntino

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.82	3.25
	2.22	2.81	3.28
	2.14	2.77	3.96	Watch
	2.25	2.75	3.2
	2.23	2.83	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.97)	2.8 ↓ (3.1)	3.4 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellonense
41%

Draw
32.4%

Atlético Saguntino
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

29.6%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

29.4%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castellonense's form might have worsened.

Atlético Saguntino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellonense than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castellonense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Saguntino than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Castellonense - Atlético Saguntino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
72', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: )).

Recent performances by Castellonense have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Saguntino is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Castellonense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Castellonense might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Castellonense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).

Including home match between the teams, Castellonense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Saguntino	5	2	1	2	7:7	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Castellonense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
18.04.26	Castellonense - Ontinyent 1931	2:3 ✺
12.04.26	Villarreal C - Castellonense	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Castellonense - La Nucía	0:2 ✺
29.03.26	Crevillente Deportivo - Castellonense	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Castellonense - Soneja	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWW
- Atlético Saguntino
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
19.04.26	Atlético Saguntino - Alzira	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Ontinyent 1931 - Atlético Saguntino	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Atlético Saguntino - Español de San Vicente	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Villarreal C - Atlético Saguntino	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Atlético Saguntino - Roda	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
20.12.25	Atlético Saguntino - Castellonense	0:0
02.03.25	Atlético Saguntino - Castellonense	0:1
20.10.24	Castellonense - Atlético Saguntino	1:0

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