Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 31

Date: 23 March 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Castalia (Castellón de la Plana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 5, Nova Sports Start
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 2
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Orange Futbol 2
Sweden	TV4 Play
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	S Sport+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Castellón		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	7	Watch
	1.36	4.75	7
	1.36	4.95	6.9	Watch
	1.4	5.39	7.38
	1.39	5.27	6.98	Watch
	1.36	4.8	6.5
	1.39	5.38	7.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.42)	5.11 ↑ (4.98)	7.03 ↑ (6.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellón
68.4%

Draw
18.3%

Leonesa
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

19%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

15.1%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castellón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	11.4%	8.6%

Castellón - Leonesa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Castellón (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - draw (3.75) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

AH -1.5 - Castellón (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - Leonesa (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Castellón will win (27 of 34 users predict this - 79.41%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.82% – 93%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Castellón (votes: 3 - 75%). Leonesa (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Matthys R. (G) 17. Ruiz S. (C) 5. Jimenez A. 12. Alcazar L. 21. Calatrava A. 15. Gerenabarrena B. 8. Barri 6. Doue M. 18. Santiago P. 19. Jakobsen A. 9. Camara O.	13. Badia E. (G) 24. Garcia V. 4. Rodri Suarez (C) 36. Barzic M. 21. Hinojo R. 17. Calero I. 28. Ojeda T. 22. Radoja N. 12. Al Amin H. 10. Chacon L. 15. Ribeiro L.
Substitutes
1. Abedzadeh A. (G) 31. Angulo I. 3. Brignani F. 29. De Nipoti T. 27. Fadel I. 23. Garcia A. 25. Ronaldo 14. Sanchez R. 4. Sienra A. 10. Suero I. 2. Tincho 55. Willman M.	1. Banuz M. (G) 14. Bicho 7. Collado D. 23. Diallo Selu M. 9. Justo M. 6. Maestre S. 11. Moreno V. 16. Ribeiro T. 2. Rodriguez P. 3. Satrustegui E. 19. Sobrino R. 20. Tresaco R.
Coaches
Hernandez P.	de la Barrera R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Barzic M. 🟨,
16', Al Amin H. 🟨,
24', Chacon L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Doue M. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
46', Jakobsen A. ↓, Fadel I. ↑,
47', Barri 🟨,
50', 1 - 0, Camara O. ⚽, Suero I. (A),
57', Al Amin H. ↓, Tresaco R. ↑,
57', Ojeda T. ↓, Diallo Selu M. ↑,
73', Santiago P. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
75', Calero I. ↓, Collado D. ↑,
75', Radoja N. ↓, Maestre S. ↑,
79', Ruiz S. ↓, Brignani F. ↑,
80', Rodri Suarez 🟨,
82', Ribeiro L. ↓, Sobrino R. ↑,
83', Maestre S. 🟨,
88', Fadel I. 🟨,
90', 1 - 1, Chacon L. (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', Alcazar L. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
90+5', Calatrava A. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Leonesa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Castellón is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Mellot J. (Red Card)

There will not play in Leonesa: Ribeiro L. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Leonesa: Radoja N. (Knock)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Castellón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Castellon	8	6	2	0	15:3	12	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
15.03.26	Sporting de Gijón - Castellón	4:1 ✺
07.03.26	Real Sociedad B - Castellón	4:2 ✺
28.02.26	Castellón - Racing Santander	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	Las Palmas - Castellón	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Castellón - Deportivo A Coruña	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLTW
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish LaLiga2
14.03.26	Leonesa - Racing Santander	1:2 ✺
09.03.26	Almería - Leonesa	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Leonesa - Las Palmas	0:3 ✺
21.02.26	Leganés - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Leonesa - Zaragoza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
20.09.25	Leonesa - Castellón	1:3

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