Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 23

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday


	Gelbison Cilento		Castrumfavara

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.52	4.82
	1.64	3.48	4.89
	1.71	3.5	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.86)	3.5 ↑ (3.4)	4.68 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gelbison Cilento
54.5%

Draw
26%

Castrumfavara
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

26.9%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

26.1%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gelbison Cilento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gelbison Cilento's performance.

Castrumfavara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gelbison Cilento than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrumfavara than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Gelbison Cilento - Castrumfavara Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Gelbison Cilento (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gelbison Cilento (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
90+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Gelbison Cilento has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Castrumfavara is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Gelbison Cilento may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gelbison Cilento is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gelbison Cilento won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Castrumfavara	6	1	1	4	5:7	-2	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Gelbison Cilento
Italian Serie D - Group I
01.02.26	Milazzo - Gelbison Cilento	1:3 ✺
25.01.26	Gelbison Cilento - Reggina	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Nissa - Gelbison Cilento	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Gelbison Cilento - Paternò	3:0 ✺
04.01.26	Sambiase - Gelbison Cilento	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLTWL
- ASD Castrumfavara
Italian Serie D - Group I
25.01.26	Castrumfavara - Nissa	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Milazzo - Castrumfavara	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Castrumfavara - Sambiase	0:2 ✺
07.01.26	Enna - Castrumfavara	3:0 ✺
04.01.26	Reggina - Castrumfavara	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
05.10.25	Castrumfavara - Gelbison Cilento	0:0

Gelbison Cilento - Castrumfavara: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide