Match Info

ITALY: COPPA ITALIA SERIE C - FINAL

Date: 19 March 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Euganeo (Padova)


	Padova		Catania

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3	4.4
	1.87	3.1	4.5	Watch
	1.84	3.13	5.12
	1.8	3.13	5.12
	1.73	3	4.5
	1.82	3.26	4.73
	1.84	3.1	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.02)	3.1 ↑ (2.9)	4.67 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Padova
50.7%

Draw
29.6%

Catania
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

30.9%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

30.7%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Padova's performance.

Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Padova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	18.2%	18.2%

Padova - Catania Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Padova will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Catania will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Padova: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Zanellati A. (G) 26. Kirwan N. 2. Delli Carri F. 3. Perrotta M. 14. Villa L. 6. Crisetig L. 7. Varas K. 19. Palombi S. 94. Zamparo L. 17. Capelli A. 10. Radrezza I.	22. Furlan J. (G) 5. Rapisarda F. 2. Curado M. 16. Quaini A. 27. Castellini A. 8. Sturaro S. 6. Ndoj E. 33. Zammarini R. 32. Chirico C. 10. Di Carmine S. 30. Cicerelli E.
Substitutes
4. Belli F. 15. Bianchi N. 20. Bortolussi M. 13. Crescenzi L. 58. Cretella C. 1. Donnarumma A. (G) 72. Faedo C. 30. Favale G. 8. Fusi P. 28. Grosu D. 21. Liguori M. 22. Mangiaracina P. (G) 90. Tordini M.	95. Albertoni M. (G) 28. Celli A. 31. Chiarella M. 90. Cianci P. 9. Costantino R. 35. Donato E. (G) 3. Haveri K. 14. Kontek I. 77. Marsura D. 46. Monaco S. 19. Peralta D. 23. Welbeck N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', Curado M. 🟨,
12', Palombi S. ⚽,
25', Crisetig L. ⚽,
26', Kirwan N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ndoj E. ↓, Welbeck N. ↑,
46', Curado M. ↓, Monaco S. ↑,
57', Sturaro S. ↓, Peralta D. ↑,
65', Palombi S. ↓, Tordini M. ↑,
66', Capelli A. ↓, Fusi P. ↑,
70', Zamparo L. ↓, Bortolussi M. ↑,
70', Radrezza I. ↓, Bianchi N. ↑,
71', Di Carmine S. ↓, Costantino R. ↑,
76', Chirico C. ↓, Chiarella M. ↑,
78', Monaco S. ⚽,
90', Bianchi N. 🟨,
90+3', Welbeck N. 🟨,
90+4', Welbeck N. 🟥,

Preview

1st leg.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Catania have a series of home games.

In this match Padova is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group A
15.03.24	Padova - AlbinoLeffe	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Giana Erminio - Padova	2:0 ✺
06.03.24	Padova - Vicenza Virtus	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Renate - Padova	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.02.24	Padova - Lucchese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLTWW
- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
15.03.24	Catania - Audace Cerignola	2:1 ✺
10.03.24	Catania - Potenza	0:0 ✺
06.03.24	Avellino - Catania	5:2 ✺
03.03.24	Catania - Nuova Monterosi	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.02.24	Catania - Rimini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTLTW

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