Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 5

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadio Nicola Ceravolo (Catanzaro)

Referee: Aureliano G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Catanzaro		Parma

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.25	3.2	Watch
	2.3	3.3	3	Watch
	2.4	3.37	3.18
	2.4	3	2.7
	2.25	3.4	3.14	Watch
	2.27	3.25	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.51)	3.26 ↑ (3.15)	3.05 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie B with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Soccer Plus

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Current Win Probability

Catanzaro
40.5%

Draw
28.8%

Parma
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

29.6%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

30.4%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	18.2%	18.2%

Catanzaro - Parma Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Parma will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Catanzaro: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fulignati A. (G) 92. Situm M. 14. Scognamillo S. 23. Brighenti N. 32. Krajnc L. 24. Sounas D. 18. Ghion A. 20. Pontisso S. 27. Vandeputte J. 9. Iemmello P. (C) 28. Biasci T.	1. Chichizola L. (G) 26. Coulibaly W. 15. Del Prato E. (C) 39. Circati A. 47. Zagaritis V. 10. Bernabe A. 8. Estevez N. 98. Man D. 19. Sohm S. 7. Benedyczak A. 13. Bonny A.
Substitutes
22. Borrelli E. (G) 17. Brignola E. 7. D'Andrea L. 99. Donnarumma A. 77. Katseris P. 5. Krastev D. 44. Miranda K. 21. Pompetti M. 16. Sala A. (G) 19. Stoppa M. 8. Verna L. 72. Veroli D.	14. Ansaldi C. 4. Balogh B. 11. Begic T. 17. Colak A. 40. Corvi E. (G) 77. Di Chiara G. 20. Hainaut A. 27. Hernani 28. Mihaila V. 3. Osorio Y. 21. Partipilo A. 22. Turk M. (G)
Coaches
Vivarini V.	Pecchia F.

Preview

Catanzaro is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Parma is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Parma could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Catanzaro will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie B
03.09.23	Lecco - Catanzaro	3:4 ✺
30.08.23	Catanzaro - Spezia	3:0 ✺
27.08.23	Catanzaro - Ternana	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Cremonese - Catanzaro	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
11.08.23	Udinese - Catanzaro	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWWTL
- FC Parma
Italian Serie B
02.09.23	Parma - Reggiana	0:0 ✺
29.08.23	Pisa - Parma	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	Parma - Cittadella	2:0 ✺
20.08.23	Parma - FeralpiSalò	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
12.08.23	Bari - Parma	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWWWW

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