Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 29

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Giovanni Zini (Cremona)

Referee: Arena A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Cremonese		Catanzaro

	1	X	2
	1.62	4	5	Watch
	1.66	3.5	5.25
	1.66	3.75	5	Watch
	1.68	3.61	6.08
	1.64	3.94	5.39	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.6
	1.66	3.92	5.15	Watch
	1.66	3.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.55)	3.73 ↓ (4.01)	5.18 ↓ (5.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cremonese
56.6%

Draw
25.2%

Catanzaro
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

23.1%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

20.8%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Cremonese - Catanzaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Cremonese will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Catanzaro will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cremonese: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fulignati A. (G) 23. Ceccherini F. 5. Ravanelli L. 15. Bianchetti M. 4. Barbieri T. 6. Pickel C. 19. Castagnetti M. 27. Vandeputte J. 7. Azzi P. 11. Johnsen D. 9. De Luca M.	22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 92. Situm M. 14. Scognamillo S. 6. Bonini F. 4. Matias Antonini 21. Pompetti M. 10. Petriccione J. 20. Pontisso S. 3. Quagliata G. 90. Pittarello F. 28. Biasci T.
Substitutes
26. Antov V. 90. Bonazzoli F. 18. Collocolo M. 12. Drago G. (G) 55. Folino F. 14. Gelli F. 37. Majer Z. 42. Moretti L. 99. Nasti M. 30. Tannander J. (G) 98. Zanimacchia L.	23. Brighenti N. 45. Buso N. 84. Cassandro T. 7. Compagnon M. 82. Corradi C. 80. Coulibaly M. 25. Gelmi L. (G) 8. Ilie R. 19. La Mantia A. 61. Maiolo F. 24. Pagano R. 29. Seck D.
Coaches
Stroppa G.	Caserta F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Johnsen D. ⚽,
42', Barbieri T. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Barbieri T. ↓, Zanimacchia L. ↑,
58', Biasci T. ↓, Buso N. ↑,
58', Pontisso S. ↓, Pagano R. ↑,
59', Situm M. ↓, Cassandro T. ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Ravanelli L. ⚽, Vandeputte J. (A),
68', Matias Antonini 🟨,
70', 3 - 0, De Luca M. (Pen),
76', 4 - 0, Johnsen D. ⚽, De Luca M. (A),
79', Bonini F. ↓, Ilie R. ↑,
80', De Luca M. ↓, Nasti M. ↑,
80', Vandeputte J. ↓, Collocolo M. ↑,
80', Pickel C. ↓, Gelli F. ↑,
86', Petriccione J. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
88', Johnsen D. ↓, Bonazzoli F. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Recent matches Cremonese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Catanzaro is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Cremonese is a favorite.

There will not play in Cremonese: Collocolo M. (Muscle Injury) Saro G. (Injury)

There will not play in Catanzaro: Breit P. (Injury) D'Alessandro M. (Injury) Iemmello P. (Yellow Cards)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cremonese won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:4 (average 1.6:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Cremonese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Cremonese
Italian Serie B
01.03.25	Carrarese - Cremonese	2:2 ✺
22.02.25	Cremonese - Cesena	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Bari - Cremonese	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Cremonese - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:1 ✺
02.02.25	Salernitana - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLTWL
- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie B
02.03.25	Catanzaro - Reggiana	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Spezia - Catanzaro	0:1 ✺
14.02.25	Catanzaro - Cittadella	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Frosinone - Catanzaro	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Catanzaro - Cesena	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
20.09.24	Catanzaro - Cremonese	1:2
25.05.24	Cremonese - Catanzaro	4:1
21.05.24	Catanzaro - Cremonese	2:2
20.04.24	Catanzaro - Cremonese	0:0
19.08.23	Cremonese - Catanzaro	0:0

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