Match Info

Date: 24 March 2021, Wednesday


	Cavese		Catanzaro

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.2	1.9
	3	3	2.25
	3.4	3.05	2.05
	3.95	3.05	1.88
	4.45	3.3	1.74
	3	3	2.25
	2.47	2.79	3.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↑ (3.4)	3.06 ↓ (3.18)	2.18 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cavese
27.2%

Draw
30.3%

Catanzaro
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

29.2%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

22.2%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cavese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cavese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Catanzaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.8%	14.6%	58.5%

Cavese - Catanzaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Cavese will win (votes: 11 - 26.8%). Catanzaro will win (votes: 24 - 58.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 14.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Catanzaro: 43.4% – 73.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 4 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Cavese is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Catanzaro is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cavese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cavese won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Cavese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
21.03.21	Casertana - Cavese	2:1 ✺
14.03.21	Foggia - Cavese	1:0 ✺
21.02.21	Monopoli - Cavese	1:0 ✺
16.02.21	Cavese - Juve Stabia	1:2 ✺
13.02.21	Viterbese - Cavese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie C Group C
21.03.21	Catanzaro - Bari	2:0 ✺
13.03.21	Catanzaro - Virtus Francavilla	1:0 ✺
07.03.21	Teramo - Catanzaro	0:0 ✺
03.03.21	Catanzaro - Avellino	0:1 ✺
27.02.21	Catanzaro - Ternana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
22.11.20	Catanzaro - Cavese	2:1
10.11.19	Cavese - Catanzaro	2:2
31.03.19	Cavese - Catanzaro	0:2
02.12.18	Catanzaro - Cavese	1:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.18	Catanzaro - Cavese	5:2

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