The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Caxias 52.6%
Draw 28.8%
EC São José Porto Alegre 18.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.2%
25.7%
14.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.3%
25.2%
13.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caxias's form might have worsened.
EC São José Porto Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caxias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
12.5%
0%
Caxias - EC São José Porto Alegre Predictions
Users Predictions:
Caxias will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Victor Golas (G) 3. Alisson 25. Calyson 21. Kelvyn 4. Lucas Cunha 77. Nicholas 27. Pedro Cuiaba 90. Richard 15. Ronei 10. Tomas Bastos (C) 23. Vinicius Guedes
1. Peralta A. (G) 8. Gabriel Terra 9. Giovane Gomez 7. Jadson 5. Jhonata Varela 10. Kayan 6. Lailson 11. Marco Freitas 2. Neko 4. Rafael Dumas 3. Tiago Pedra
Substitutes
14. Carlos Henrique 22. Debortoli Mignoni A. 44. Douglas 43. Guilherme Mantuan 5. Lorran 6. Marcelo 31. Matheus Silva (G) 8. Paulinho Souza 2. Thiago Ennes 52. Zanelatto Liriano F. 12. Zilio R. (G)
21. Diniz 19. Douglas Oliveira 12. Fabio Rampi (G) 14. Ghiven 18. Gustavo Bagatini 15. Lucas Hulk 20. Maicon Assis 16. Marcos Vinicius 13. Marquinhos 33. Pablo (G) 22. Pandolfi T. 17. Rene
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Pedro Cuiaba 🟨,
38', Tiago Pedra 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pedro Cuiaba ↓, Lorran ↑,
57', 1 - 0, Alisson ⚽,
60', Lailson ↓, Marcos Vinicius ↑,
60', Kayan ↓, Rene ↑,
60', Jhonata Varela ↓, Douglas Oliveira ↑,
64', Rafael Dumas ↓, Ghiven ↑,
80', Gabriel Terra ↓, Gustavo Bagatini ↑,
80', Calyson ↓, Guilherme Mantuan ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Douglas Oliveira ⚽,
90', Nicholas ↓, Thiago Ennes ↑,
90', Vinicius Guedes ↓, Paulinho Souza ↑,
90+4', 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Caxias won 2.
Caxias is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
EC São José is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Caxias is a favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Caxias won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.4:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Caxias won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.1:0.9).
Watch
#ad
Victor Golas (G) 
Peralta A. (G) 
Diniz 
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
