Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera B - Clausura - Round 18

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Cañuelas		Deportivo Merlo

	1	X	2
	3	2.7	2.35
	3.2	2.75	2.5
	3.39	2.76	2.54
	3.37	2.53	2.53	Watch
	3.1	2.75	2.38
	3.22	2.81	2.41
	3.2	2.75	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.86)	2.72 ↓ (2.98)	2.46 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cañuelas
28.7%

Draw
33.8%

Deportivo Merlo
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

30.8%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

30.1%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cañuelas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Deportivo Merlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cañuelas than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	60%	40%

Cañuelas - Deportivo Merlo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Deportivo Merlo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Cao R. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 0 - 2, Penepil M. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cañuelas won 1.

Cañuelas is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportivo Merlo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Cañuelas won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 15:31 (average 0.8:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Cañuelas won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:14 (average 0.9:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cañuelas FC
Argentinian Primera B
08.10.24	Sacachispas - Cañuelas	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Cañuelas - Excursionistas	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Acassuso - Cañuelas	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Cañuelas - San Martín de Burzaco	1:0 ✺
07.09.24	UAI Urquiza - Cañuelas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLWL
- Deportivo Merlo
Argentinian Primera B
06.10.24	Deportivo Merlo - Deportivo Laferrere	0:0 ✺
28.09.24	Villa Dálmine - Deportivo Merlo	2:0 ✺
23.09.24	Sacachispas - Deportivo Merlo	0:2 ✺
14.09.24	Deportivo Merlo - Excursionistas	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Acassuso - Deportivo Merlo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
25.05.24	Deportivo Merlo - Cañuelas	1:1
17.06.23	Cañuelas - Deportivo Merlo	0:0
18.02.23	Deportivo Merlo - Cañuelas	4:1
02.07.22	Deportivo Merlo - Cañuelas	2:1
05.03.22	Cañuelas - Deportivo Merlo	1:0
28.08.21	Cañuelas - Deportivo Merlo	1:1
17.04.21	Deportivo Merlo - Cañuelas	2:1

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