Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 20

Date: 16 June 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Beto Larrosa (Villa Soldati)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Sacachispas		Deportivo Merlo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.7	2.65	2.1
				Watch
	3.86	2.59	2.21
				Watch
	3.75	2.7	2.15
	3.78	2.82	2.16
	3	2.95	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.07)	2.74 ↓ (3)	2.16 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sacachispas
25.1%

Draw
33.1%

Deportivo Merlo
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

30.3%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

30%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacachispas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Deportivo Merlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacachispas than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Sacachispas - Deportivo Merlo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sacachispas will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Deportivo Merlo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Troncoso F. (G) 6. Buonofiglio A. 11. Campuzano C. 2. Cena S. 3. Cruz A. 7. Martinez J. 9. Medina L. 8. Monje A. 5. Priori R. 4. Romero K. 10. Visco A.	1. Fernandez P. (G) 4. Aguerre F. 11. Benega S. 9. Cao R. 10. Casasola N. 5. Ferreyra F. 3. Gauna I. 2. Mendez E. 8. Meza A. 6. Ordano A. 7. Zeineddin N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Aguerre F. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Priori R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Arellano L. ↓, Cabrera D. ↑,
48', Cena S. 🟨,
60', Meza A. ↓, Zeineddin N. ↑,
65', Barreiro E. ↓, Oltmann J. C. ↑,
69', Cabrera D. 🟨,
72', Ferreyra F. 🟨,
72', Ferreyra F. ↓, Mendez M. ↑,
74', Brotzman S. 🟨,
75', Ordano A. 🟥,
76', Brotzman S. ↓, Abregu E. ↑,
76', Visco A. ↓, Arrieta G. E. ↑,
78', Sosa S. ↓, Benega S. ↑,
78', Casasola N. ↓, Sarsotto G. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Arrieta G. E. ⚽,
89', Cruz A. ↓, Medina L. ↑,
89', Villalba J. ↓, Mancuso V. ↑,
90+1', Mancuso V. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacachispas won 2.

Sacachispas is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Deportivo Merlo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Deportivo Merlo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Deportivo Merlo could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sacachispas won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Sacachispas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sacachispas FC
Argentinian Primera B
07.06.25	Sportivo Dock Sud - Sacachispas	2:0 ✺
04.06.25	Sacachispas - UAI Urquiza	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Sacachispas - Villa San Carlos	0:1 ✺
23.05.25	Real Pilar - Sacachispas	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Sportivo Italiano - Sacachispas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL
- Deportivo Merlo
Argentinian Primera B
31.05.25	Deportivo Merlo - Sportivo Dock Sud	0:0 ✺
24.05.25	Villa San Carlos - Deportivo Merlo	1:1 ✺
18.05.25	Deportivo Merlo - Real Pilar	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	UAI Urquiza - Deportivo Merlo	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Deportivo Merlo - Sportivo Italiano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
23.09.24	Sacachispas - Deportivo Merlo	0:2
05.05.24	Deportivo Merlo - Sacachispas	1:0
02.09.23	Deportivo Merlo - Sacachispas	1:0
28.04.23	Sacachispas - Deportivo Merlo	2:0
21.11.21	Sacachispas - Deportivo Merlo	3:2 penalties
13.09.21	Sacachispas - Deportivo Merlo	0:0
02.05.21	Deportivo Merlo - Sacachispas	0:1

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