Match Info

Serie B - Round 19

Date: 22 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Castelão (Fortaleza)

Referee: Vollkopf P. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ceará		CRB Maceio

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.00	3.25
	2.2	3.05	3.3	Watch
	2.27	3.23	3.48
	2.22	3.13	3.4	Watch
	2.25	3.15	3.4
	2.23	3.08	3.38	Watch
	2.21	3.05	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.14)	3.1 ↓ (3.3)	3.37 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceará
42.1%

Draw
30.1%

CRB Maceio
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

28.4%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

CRB Maceio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	87.5%	12.5%

Ceará - CRB Maceio Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. CRB will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 64.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Richard (C) 31. Bryan Borges 18. Julio Cesar 33. Eder 12. Sanchez 21. Giovanni Pavani 81. Joao Gabriel 40. Melk 11. Lucas Mugni 35. Giulio 7. Lopez R.	1. Vitor Caetano (G) 2. Kevin 22. Bressan 27. Fabio Alemao (C) 36. Lucas Lovat 8. Crystopher Ribeiro 21. Pedro Castro 10. Danielzinho 17. Thiaguinho 28. Mikael 97. Dada Belmonte
Substitutes
88. Caio 60. Enzo Lodovico 20. Ferreira Berrondo M. N. 71. Gabriel Rocha 10. Juan Alano 99. Lucca 13. Luiz Otavio 8. Matheus Araujo 22. Matheus Nogueira (G) 26. Richardson 6. Savio 29. Vina	45. De Lucca 7. Douglas Baggio 23. Fabio Henrique (G) 18. Geovane 16. Guilherme 11. Guilherme Pato 50. Luizao 33. Lyncon 6. Reverson 14. Ruy 20. Vinicius Barata
Coaches
Daniel Paulista	Fabio Matias

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Joao Gabriel 🟨,
38', Eder 🟨,
43', Lucas Mugni 🟨,
45+4', 0 - 1, Mikael (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Giulio ↓, Ferreira Berrondo M. N. ↑,
46', Sanchez ↓, Savio ↑,
46', Lucas Mugni ↓, Vina ↑,
53', Lucas Lovat 🟨,
63', Danielzinho ↓, Geovane ↑,
63', Lucas Lovat ↓, Reverson ↑,
71', Bryan Borges ↓, Enzo Lodovico ↑,
74', Kevin 🟨,
76', Julio Cesar 🟨,
78', Giovanni Pavani ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
79', Thiaguinho ↓, Guilherme Pato ↑,
88', Pedro Castro ↓, De Lucca ↑,
88', Dada Belmonte ↓, Vinicius Barata ↑,
88', Vitor Caetano 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 1.

Ceará is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

CRB has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ceará might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Ceará: Gilmar (Injury) Gustavo Prado (Inactive) Ramos R. (Inactive) Vinicius Zanocelo (Knee Injury)

There will not play in CRB: Matheus Albino (Shoulder Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	CRB	32	15	6	11	49:45	4	51
15	Ceara	31	10	9	12	34:39	-5	39

Last Results with these Odds

CRB Maceio - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 28.23%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ceará SC
Brazilian Serie B
17.07.26	América Mineiro - Ceará	1:1 ✺
13.07.26	Ceará - Athletic Club	0:0 ✺
04.07.26	Goiás - Ceará	2:0 ✺
28.06.26	Juventude - Ceará	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Ceará - Botafogo SP	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TTLLL
- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
16.07.26	CRB Maceio - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1 ✺
12.07.26	CRB Maceio - Goiás	2:2 ✺
04.07.26	Londrina - CRB Maceio	5:0 ✺
30.06.26	Botafogo SP - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
21.06.26	CRB Maceio - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
21.08.24	CRB Maceio - Ceará	0:2
Copa do Brasil
23.05.24	Ceará - CRB Maceio	0:1
Brazilian Serie B
06.05.24	Ceará - CRB Maceio	2:2
Copa do Brasil
02.05.24	CRB Maceio - Ceará	1:0
Brazilian Serie B
06.10.23	CRB Maceio - Ceará	2:0
10.06.23	Ceará - CRB Maceio	1:3
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
17.02.23	CRB Maceio - Ceará	1:1

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