The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ceará 46.9%
Draw 29.3%
Operário Ferroviario 23.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.8%
29%
20.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.5%
25.4%
23.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
12.5%
12.5%
Ceará - Operário Ferroviario Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Operário PR will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ceará: 45% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Richard (C) 20. Diego 33. Eder 4. Luiz Otavio 17. Fernando 18. Julio Cesar 81. Joao Gabriel 40. Melk 8. Matheus Araujo 11. Fernandinho 9. Wendel Silva
33. Vagner (G) 2. Mikael Doka 22. Cuenu J. 16. Miranda 27. Gabriel Feliciano 39. Matheus Trindade 11. Aylon 20. Vinicius Diniz 10. Boschilia (C) 6. Moraes 92. Pablo
Substitutes
94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 60. Enzo Lodovico 63. Gilmar 35. Giulio 30. Gustavo Prado 10. Juan Alano 31. Lucas Lima 13. Luiz Otavio 98. Matheusinho 80. Pedro Esli 2. Ramos R. 26. Richardson
18. Andre 99. Caio Dantas 41. Diego Monteiro (G) 7. Felipe Augusto 23. Joao Gabriel 44. Klaus 26. Maguinho 88. Neto Paraiba 30. Pedro Vilhena 14. Pereira H. 29. Torres E.
Coaches
Mozart
Luizinho Lopes
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Cuenu J. 🟨,
26', Fernandinho 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Melk ⚽, Julio Cesar (A),
45+1', Fernando 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', Matheus Araujo 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Boschilia ⚽,
59', 1 - 2, Gabriel Feliciano ⚽, Pablo (A),
61', Fernandinho 🟨,
68', Moraes ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
68', Joao Gabriel ↓, Enzo Lodovico ↑,
68', Julio Cesar ↓, Lucas Lima ↑,
73', Gabriel Feliciano 🟨,
75', Wendel Silva ↓, Giulio ↑,
75', Fernando ↓, Pedro Esli ↑,
80', Aylon ↓, Neto Paraiba ↑,
80', Mikael Doka ↓, Maguinho ↑,
81', Lucas Lima 🟨,
85', Pablo ↓, Caio Dantas ↑,
85', Vinicius Diniz ↓, Felipe Augusto ↑,
88', Miranda 🟨,
90+2', Lucas Lima 🟨,
90+7', Felipe Augusto 🟨,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 14).
Ceará is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Operário PR has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Ceará may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Ceará is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Ceará: Lucca
(Shoulder Injury)
Luiz Otavio
(Thigh Injury)
Pedro Henrique
(Inactive)
Richard
(Shoulder Injury)
Ronald Carvalho
(Muscle Injury)
Sanchez
(Red Card)
Vina
(Inactive)
Vinicius Zanocelo
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Operário PR: Brenno Pereira
(Knee Injury)
Vinicius Mingotti
(Knee Injury)
Zuluaga J.
(Inactive)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Ceará won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.