Match Info
Serie B - Round 21Date: 7 August 2026, FridayLocation: Castelão (Fortaleza)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
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Ceará |
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Ponte Preta |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.45 |
4.1 |
7 |
 Watch |
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1.41 |
4.33 |
6.50 |
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1.48 |
3.95 |
6.5 |
Watch |
 |
1.49 |
4.16 |
7.93 |
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1.48 |
4.01 |
7.25 |
Watch |
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1.45 |
4.1 |
7.75 |
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1.49 |
4.07 |
6.62 |
Watch |
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1.48 |
4.1 |
6.6 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↑
(1.33) |
4.1 ↓
(4.46) |
7.02 ↓
(8.97) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ceará
63.8% | Draw
22.8% | Ponte Preta
13.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ceará's form might have worsened.Ponte Preta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-23.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceará that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+4.1%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Ponte Preta will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - no (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
1.  Richard (C)
31. Bryan Borges
3. Thalisson
71. Gabriel Rocha
6. Savio
81. Joao Gabriel
21. Giovanni Pavani
35. Giulio
29. Vina
20.  Ferreira Berrondo M. N.
99. Lucca
| 30. Vinicius Ferrari (G)
23.  Palacios S.
3. Lucas Cunha
13. Diego Porfirio
2. Julio
8. Andre Lima
16. Leo Gomes
32. Kevyson
18. David da Hora
10. Elvis (C)
21. Brandao
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| Substitutes |
88. Caio
60. Enzo Lodovico
90. Kaua Ziegler
7. Lopez R.
11.  Lucas Mugni
13. Luiz Otavio
8. Matheus Araujo
22. Matheus Nogueira (G)
40. Melk
26. Richardson
12. Sanchez
45. Vini Uchella
| 11. Baianinho
4. Diego M. L.
1. Guilherme Viana (G)
44. Gustavo Almeida
35. Gustavo Telles
9. Joao Damiao
6. Juan Rodrigues
17. Miguel Morais
5. Rodrigo Souza
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| Coaches |
Daniel Paulista
| Marcio Zanardi
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', Julio 🟨,
- 19', Julio 🟨,
- 21', Diego Porfirio 🟨,
- 22', Kevyson ↓, Diego M. L. ↑,
- 29', 1 - 0, Lucca ⚽, Giovanni Pavani (A),
- 43', Lucas Cunha 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', David da Hora ↓, Rodrigo Souza ↑,
- 49', Thalisson ↓, Luiz Otavio ↑,
- 62', Giovanni Pavani ↓, Richardson ↑,
- 62', Ferreira Berrondo M. N. ↓, Melk ↑,
- 64', Palacios S. ↓, Baianinho ↑,
- 69', Joao Gabriel 🟨,
- 78', 2 - 0, Giulio ⚽, Gabriel Rocha (A),
- 83', Elvis ↓, Gustavo Almeida ↑,
- 83', Andre Lima ↓, Gustavo Telles ↑,
- 84', Vina ↓, Lucas Mugni ↑,
- 84', Lucca ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 86', Gustavo Almeida 🟨,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 1.Recent performances by Ceará have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).Ponte Preta has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0). In this match, Ceará is the undeniable favorite.There will not play in Ceará: Eder
(Yellow Cards)
Gilmar
(Injury)
Julio Cesar
(Yellow Cards)
Luiz Otavio
(Inactive)
Ramos R.
(Inactive)
Vinicius Zanocelo
(Knee Injury)There will not play in Ponte Preta: Julio
(Yellow Cards)
Murilo
(Injury)There are questionable in Ponte Preta: Thalys
(Inactive)In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
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Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 16 | Ceara | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 23:28 | -5 | 25 |
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| 20 | Ponte Preta | 22 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16:42 | -26 | 10 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie B | | | 01.04.26 | Ponte Preta - Ceará | 1:1 | | 12.10.24 | Ceará - Ponte Preta | 1:0 | | 25.06.24 | Ponte Preta - Ceará | 3:1 | | 20.08.23 | Ceará - Ponte Preta | 1:1 | | 07.05.23 | Ponte Preta - Ceará | 0:0 | | 27.09.14 | Ponte Preta - Ceará | 3:1 | | 23.05.14 | Ceará - Ponte Preta | 3:2 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
