The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ceará 63.8%
Draw 22.8%
Ponte Preta 13.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.2%
20.6%
10.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.6%
12.1%
17.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ceará's form might have worsened.
Ponte Preta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-23.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceará that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Ceará - Ponte Preta Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Ponte Preta will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - no (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Richard (C) 31. Bryan Borges 3. Thalisson 71. Gabriel Rocha 6. Savio 81. Joao Gabriel 21. Giovanni Pavani 35. Giulio 29. Vina 20. Ferreira Berrondo M. N. 99. Lucca
30. Vinicius Ferrari (G) 23. Palacios S. 3. Lucas Cunha 13. Diego Porfirio 2. Julio 8. Andre Lima 16. Leo Gomes 32. Kevyson 18. David da Hora 10. Elvis (C) 21. Brandao
11. Baianinho 4. Diego M. L. 1. Guilherme Viana (G) 44. Gustavo Almeida 35. Gustavo Telles 9. Joao Damiao 6. Juan Rodrigues 17. Miguel Morais 5. Rodrigo Souza
Coaches
Daniel Paulista
Marcio Zanardi
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Julio 🟨,
19', Julio 🟨,
21', Diego Porfirio 🟨,
22', Kevyson ↓, Diego M. L. ↑,
29', 1 - 0, Lucca ⚽, Giovanni Pavani (A),
43', Lucas Cunha 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', David da Hora ↓, Rodrigo Souza ↑,
49', Thalisson ↓, Luiz Otavio ↑,
62', Giovanni Pavani ↓, Richardson ↑,
62', Ferreira Berrondo M. N. ↓, Melk ↑,
64', Palacios S. ↓, Baianinho ↑,
69', Joao Gabriel 🟨,
78', 2 - 0, Giulio ⚽, Gabriel Rocha (A),
83', Elvis ↓, Gustavo Almeida ↑,
83', Andre Lima ↓, Gustavo Telles ↑,
84', Vina ↓, Lucas Mugni ↑,
84', Lucca ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
86', Gustavo Almeida 🟨,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 1.
Recent performances by Ceará have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Ponte Preta has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Ceará is the undeniable favorite.
There will not play in Ceará: Eder
(Yellow Cards)
Gilmar
(Injury)
Julio Cesar
(Yellow Cards)
Luiz Otavio
(Inactive)
Ramos R.
(Inactive)
Vinicius Zanocelo
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Ponte Preta: Julio
(Yellow Cards)
Murilo
(Injury)
There are questionable in Ponte Preta: Thalys
(Inactive)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
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Richard (C) 
Ferreira Berrondo M. N. 
Palacios S. 
Lucas Mugni 
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