Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés (Celaya)

Referee: Barba A. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Celaya		Alebrijes de Oaxaca

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.2	6	10
	1.18	6.6	13	Watch
	1.2	6.67	12.62	Watch
	1.25	5.5	9.5
	1.19	7.92	9.89	Watch
	1.18	6.6	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.21)	6.55 ↑ (5.85)	11.34 ↓ (11.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celaya
77.6%

Draw
14.2%

Alebrijes de Oaxaca
8.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.4%

15.8%

7.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Alebrijes de Oaxaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Celaya - Alebrijes de Oaxaca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hernandez H. (G) 22. Baltazar C. 7. Barragan M. 25. Blanco D. 2. Cervantes D. (C) 6. Del Angel E. 8. de los Santos L. 16. Garcia J. 14. Manriquez S. 3. Monreal E. 11. Tejeda D.	21. Fernandez Sanchez J. E. (G) 6. Arellano A. 19. Ballesteros O. 177. Bustos J. 3. Justo A. (C) 16. Lopez D. 20. Manzanares G. 29. Meza S. 8. Morales F. 2. Santos E. 5. Vazquez Garza H. A.
Substitutes
156. Chaurand K. 10. Dominguez A. 29. Espinoza G. (G) 28. Gamboa J. 137. Giron M. 21. Hernandez P. 30. Kassi A. 136. Luna E. G. 19. Partida E. 18. Recalde B.	9. Cortes Cardona C. A. 180. Gomez Amador M. B. (G) 4. Hinestroza M. C. A. 18. Hurtado F. 23. Levin J. 11. Mascorro H. 25. Mayo Canul M. A. 12. Palacios Bernal M. L. 24. Rojas D. 14. Vazquez Hernandez A.
Coaches
Blanco Soto S. R.	Alvarado A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Arellano A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Bustos J. ↓, Mascorro H. ↑,
46', Santos E. ↓, Vazquez Hernandez A. ↑,
46', Del Angel E. ↓, Dominguez A. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Barragan M. ⚽,
59', 2 - 0, Baltazar C. ⚽,
70', Morales F. ↓, Rojas D. ↑,
71', Garcia J. ↓, Partida E. ↑,
71', Tejeda D. ↓, Recalde B. ↑,
75', Manzanares G. ↓, Hinestroza M. C. A. ↑,
87', 3 - 0, Barragan M. (Pen),

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Celaya won 4.

Recent matches Celaya is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alebrijes de Oaxaca has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Celaya could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Celaya is absolute favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Celaya won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 24:17 (average 1.2:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Celaya won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:6 (average 1.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Celaya
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
22.03.25	Cancún - Celaya	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Jaiba Brava - Celaya	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Celaya - Atlético Morelia	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Mineros de Zacatecas - Celaya	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Celaya - Tepatitlán de Morelos	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TTWLW
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
21.03.25	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tlaxcala	2:3 ✺
16.03.25	Leones Negros UdeG - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3:2 ✺
08.03.25	Jaiba Brava - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3:0 ✺
28.02.25	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Correcaminos UAT	0:1 ✺
21.02.25	Venados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
13.10.24	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Celaya	1:5
25.02.24	Celaya - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	2:0
15.08.23	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Celaya	2:1
11.01.23	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Celaya	0:1
21.09.22	Celaya - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	2:0
01.03.22	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Celaya	1:0
20.10.21	Celaya - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	1:0

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