Match Info

LaLiga - Round 9

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio de Balaídos (Vigo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Munuera J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	16:15	SuperSport 2
Argentina	11:15	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	18:15	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	01:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	16:15	DAZN
Bangladesh	20:15	Begin
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:15	Arena Premium 3
Bulgaria	17:15	Max Sport 4
Cambodia	21:15	MyTV
Canada	10:15	TSN+
Chile	11:15	DirecTV Sports
China	22:15	Migu
Croatia	16:15	MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 3
Czech Republic	16:15	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	16:15	Disney+
Ecuador	09:15	DAZN, DirecTV Sports
Finland	17:15	Disney+
France	16:15	DAZN France, Disney+
Georgia	18:15	Silk Sport 1
Germany	16:15	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	22:15	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	16:15	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	14:15	Disney+
India	19:45	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	21:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	17:15	ONE Sport
Italy	16:15	DAZN Italia
Japan	23:15	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	20:15	Setanta Sports
Kenya	17:15	Gotv
Kosovo	16:15	Arena Premium 4
Laos	21:15	beIN Connect
Macao	22:15	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	22:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	19:15	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	16:15	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	08:15	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	16:15	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	03:15	beIN Connect
Nigeria	15:15	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	16:15	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	09:15	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	22:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	15:15	DAZN 3, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	17:15	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	17:15	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	16:15	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	22:15	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	16:15	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	16:15	SportKlub 2
South Africa	16:15	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South Korea	23:15	Coupang Play
Spain	16:15	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	16:15	Disney+
Switzerland	16:15	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	22:15	DAZN
Thailand	21:15	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	17:15	S Sport
Ukraine	17:15	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	11:15	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 310
Usa	10:15	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	10:15	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Inter
Vietnam	21:15	ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV Online, VTVcab


	Celta de Vigo		Deportivo Alavés

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.10	3.50	Watch
	2.20	3.00	3.60
	2.28	3.10	3.40	Watch
	2.28	3.14	3.80
	2.25	3.23	3.4	Watch
	2.25	3.00	3.75
	2.25	3.17	3.57	Watch
	2.19	3.20	3.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.04)	3.12 ↓ (3.44)	3.59 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo
42.7%

Draw
30.7%

Deportivo Alavés
26.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.6%

27.7%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

27.3%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	31.8%	4.5%

Celta de Vigo - Deportivo Alavés Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Celta will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%). Alavés will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celta: 43.5% – 83.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Radu I. (G) 20. Rodriguez J. 18. Lago Y. 21. Caceres S. 5. Carreira S. 30. Burcio H. 6. Moriba I. 23. Alvarez H. (C) 24. Driouech C. 9. Jutgla F. 19. Swedberg W.	1. Sivera A. (G) 14. Tenaglia N. 17. Jonny Otto 16. Koski V. 2. Valentini N. 21. Rebbach A. 19. Ibanez P. 8. Blanco A. (C) 10. Alena C. 11. Martinez T. 15. Boye L.
Substitutes
3. Alonso M. 28. Antanon A. 31. Arcos A. 10. Aspas I. 1. Bayindir A. (G) 4. Faye A. 14. Febas A. 22. Galan J. 16. Gonzalez H. 15. Nunez A. 17. Rueda J. 25. Villar I. (G)	24. Diallo Selu M. 9. Diaz M. 6. Guevara A. 20. Manas A. 12. Novoa Ramos H. 27. Olaiz X. 23. Protesoni C. 13. Rodriguez A. (G) 22. Rodriguez M. 4. Suarez D. 31. Swiderski G. (G) 3. Yusi
Coaches
Giraldez C.	Sanchez Flores Q.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Caceres S. 🟨,
45', Martinez T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Moriba I. ↓, Febas A. ↑,
46', Swedberg W. ↓, Rueda J. ↑,
53', 1 - 0, Jutgla F. ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
62', Jonny Otto ↓, Novoa Ramos H. ↑,
62', Martinez T. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
62', Alena C. ↓, Suarez D. ↑,
70', Driouech C. ↓, Aspas I. ↑,
70', Burcio H. ↓, Antanon A. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Aspas I. (A),
77', Caceres S. ↓, Alonso M. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Novoa Ramos H. ⚽, Diaz M. (A),
88', Rebbach A. ↓, Manas A. ↑,
88', Blanco A. ↓, Guevara A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 11th and 7th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celta won 2.

Celta has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Alavés is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Celta may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Celta is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Celta: Duran P. (Calf Injury) El Abdellaoui J. (Knee Injury) Iglesias B. (Muscle Injury) Roman M. (Knee Injury) Starfelt C. (Muscle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Alavés: Garces F. (Suspended) Perez A. (Red Card) Rodriguez M. (Ankle Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Celta has recorded 9 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:21 (averaging 1.5:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Celta against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 20:7 goals (averaging 2:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Alaves	10	3	3	4	14:11	3	12
9	Celta Vigo	10	2	6	2	10:7	3	12

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Celta Vigo: 0.24% Alaves: 0.2%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Celta de Vigo - Juventus	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
11.10.26	Elche - Celta de Vigo	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Celta de Vigo - Racing Santander	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Omonia - Celta de Vigo	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
13.09.26	Celta de Vigo - Málaga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTWLT
- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga
10.10.26	Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés	0:0 ✺
15.09.26	Deportivo Alavés - Valencia	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Racing Santander - Deportivo Alavés	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Deportivo Alavés - Osasuna	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
22.03.26	Celta de Vigo - Deportivo Alavés	3:4
22.11.25	Deportivo Alavés - Celta de Vigo	0:1
27.01.25	Deportivo Alavés - Celta de Vigo	1:1
16.08.24	Celta de Vigo - Deportivo Alavés	2:1
27.04.24	Deportivo Alavés - Celta de Vigo	3:0
28.09.23	Celta de Vigo - Deportivo Alavés	1:1
07.05.22	Celta de Vigo - Deportivo Alavés	4:0

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