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Celta de Vigo vs Levante Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Tuesday, May 12, 2026)

Match Info

LaLiga - Round 36

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio de Balaídos (Vigo)

Referee: Cordero A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Europe	Go3 Sport Open Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	Canal 5, Izzi TV, Sky Sport, ViX Premium
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga 2, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, SCTV 15, SCTV Online


	Celta de Vigo		Levante

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.7	3.8	Watch
	1.95	3.7	3.7	Watch
	1.96	3.75	4.1
	1.9	3.81	3.88	Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.8
	1.94	3.81	4.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.77)	3.71 ↓ (3.78)	3.92 ↓ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo
49.8%

Draw
25.8%

Levante
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

25.2%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

28.3%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Celta de Vigo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levante than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Levante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.1%	15.8%	13.2%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Celta will win (votes: 27 - 73%). Levante will win (votes: 5 - 13.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celta: 58.7% – 87.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Levante (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Celta (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Celta (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH -0.5 - Levante (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Levante (3.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Celta de Vigo will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta (votes: 5 - 50%). Levante (votes: 4 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Radu I. (G) 32. Rodriguez J. 29. Lago Y. 20. Alonso M. 17. Rueda J. 8. Lopez F. 22. Sotelo H. 5. Carreira S. 10. Aspas I. (C) 9. Jutgla F. 23. Alvarez H.	13. Ryan M. (G) 22. Toljan J. 4. Dela 2. Moreno M. 6. Varela Pampin D. 16. Arriaga K. 8. Olasagasti J. A. 17. Garcia V. 10. Martinez P. (C) 26. Tunde K. 19. Espi C.
Substitutes
4. Aidoo J. 36. Antanon A. 24. Dominguez C. 18. Duran P. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 12. Fernandez M. 7. Iglesias B. 3. Mingueza O. 14. Nunez A. 21. Ristic M. 19. Swedberg W. 1. Villar I. (G)	55. Abed T. 7. Brugue R. 1. Cunat P. (G) 21. Etta Eyong K. 18. Losada I. 3. Matturro A. 11. Morales J. 29. Perez N. 14. Raghouber U. 20. Rey O. 9. Romero I. 23. Sanchez M.
Coaches
Giraldez C.	Castro L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Jutgla F. ⚽, Alvarez H. (A),
43', 1 - 1, Arriaga K. ⚽, Toljan J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Tunde K. ↓, Losada I. ↑,
48', 2 - 1, Jutgla F. ⚽, Rueda J. (A),
57', 2 - 2, Dela ⚽, Arriaga K. (A),
60', Varela Pampin D. 🟨,
61', Garcia V. ↓, Brugue R. ↑,
62', Martinez P. ↓, Raghouber U. ↑,
63', 2 - 3, Brugue R. ⚽, Olasagasti J. A. (A),
66', Aspas I. ↓, Duran P. ↑,
66', Alvarez H. ↓, Swedberg W. ↑,
66', Rueda J. ↓, Iglesias B. ↑,
76', Sotelo H. ↓, Mingueza O. ↑,
76', Jutgla F. ↓, El Abdellaoui J. ↑,
77', Varela Pampin D. ↓, Sanchez M. ↑,
86', Espi C. ↓, Romero I. ↑,
90', Ryan M. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celta won 3.

Celta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Levante is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Levante may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Celta is the team to beat.

There will not play in Celta: Roman M. (Foot Injury) Starfelt C. (Back Injury) Vecino M. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Levante: Alvarez C. (Injury) Elgezabal U. (Knee Injury) Primo A. (Shoulder Injury) Vencedor U. (Inactive)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Celta won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:22. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Celta won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 2:1.7).

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Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Celta Vigo	37	13	12	12	52:48	4	51
15	Levante	37	11	9	17	46:59	-13	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
09.05.26	Atlético Madrid - Celta de Vigo	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Celta de Vigo - Elche	3:1 ✺
26.04.26	Villarreal - Celta de Vigo	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Barcelona - Celta de Vigo	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.04.26	Celta de Vigo - Freiburg	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLLL
- Levante UD
Spanish LaLiga
08.05.26	Levante - Osasuna	3:2 ✺
02.05.26	Villarreal - Levante	5:1 ✺
27.04.26	Espanyol - Levante	0:0 ✺
23.04.26	Levante - Sevilla	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Levante - Getafe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
02.11.25	Levante - Celta de Vigo	1:2
21.02.22	Celta de Vigo - Levante	1:1
21.09.21	Levante - Celta de Vigo	0:2
30.04.21	Celta de Vigo - Levante	2:0
26.10.20	Levante - Celta de Vigo	1:1
16.07.20	Celta de Vigo - Levante	2:3
22.12.19	Levante - Celta de Vigo	3:1

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