Match Info

LaLiga - Round 34

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Balaídos (Vigo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Canal 5, Izzi TV, Sky Sport, ViX Premium
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 4
Tanzania	ZBC 2 Tanzania
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, SCTV 15, SCTV Online


	Celta de Vigo		Elche

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.9	4.75	Watch
	1.71	4	4.5
	1.82	3.7	4.45	Watch
	1.8	4.15	4.54
	1.77	3.93	4.29	Watch
	1.73	3.75	4.4
	1.83	3.94	4.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.95)	3.91 ↑ (3.51)	4.51 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo
54.3%

Draw
24.5%

Elche
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

26.9%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

28.8%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Celta de Vigo's performance.

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.6%	18.7%	15.6%

Celta de Vigo - Elche Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Celta will win (votes: 21 - 65.6%). Elche will win (votes: 5 - 15.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celta: 49.1% – 82.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Elche (4.05) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Celta (2.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Celta (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta (votes: 3 - 50%). Elche (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Radu I. (G) 32. Rodriguez J. 29. Lago Y. 14. Nunez A. 17. Rueda J. 8. Lopez F. 6. Moriba I. 5. Carreira S. 10. Aspas I. (C) 23. Alvarez H. 9. Jutgla F.	1. Dituro M. (G) 18. Donald J. 22. Affengruber D. 6. Bigas P. (C) 15. Tete Morente 8. Aguado M. 14. Febas A. 3. Pedrosa A. 12. Villar G. 20. Rodriguez A. 9. Andre Silva
Substitutes
4. Aidoo J. 36. Antanon A. 24. Dominguez C. 18. Duran P. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 12. Fernandez M. 7. Iglesias B. 3. Mingueza O. 21. Ristic M. 22. Sotelo H. 19. Swedberg W. 1. Villar I. (G)	42. Buba Sangare 24. Cepeda L. 23. Chust V. 19. Diangana G. 39. Fort H. 45. Iturbe A. (G) 17. Josan 16. Neto M. 13. Pena I. (G) 21. Petrot L.
Coaches
Giraldez C.	Sarabia E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Alvarez H. ⚽, Rueda J. (A),
28', Villar G. 🟨,
30', 2 - 0, Aspas I. ⚽, Jutgla F. (A),
41', Rueda J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Rueda J. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
58', Affengruber D. ↓, Chust V. ↑,
58', Villar G. ↓, Neto M. ↑,
63', Aspas I. ↓, El Abdellaoui J. ↑,
69', Tete Morente ↓, Fort H. ↑,
69', Pedrosa A. ↓, Josan ↑,
71', Jutgla F. ↓, Iglesias B. ↑,
71', Alvarez H. ↓, Swedberg W. ↑,
77', Aguado M. ↓, Cepeda L. ↑,
78', Nunez A. ↓, Mingueza O. ↑,
82', 2 - 1, Andre Silva (Penalty Awarded),
83', Lago Y. 🟨,
85', 3 - 1, Iglesias B. ⚽, Swedberg W. (A),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celta won 3.

Celta has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Elche is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Celta is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Celta: Alonso M. (Yellow Cards) Roman M. (Foot Injury) Starfelt C. (Back Injury) Vecino M. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Elche: Boayar A. (Muscle Injury) Santiago Y. (Knee Injury) Valera G. (Red Card)

We predict that Elche will win today's game, with odds of 4.4.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Celta won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Celta won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Celta Vigo: 0.3% Elche: 0.2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8:6	2	7
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11:17	-6	5

Last Results with these Odds

Celta de Vigo - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 48.45%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
26.04.26	Villarreal - Celta de Vigo	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Barcelona - Celta de Vigo	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.04.26	Celta de Vigo - Freiburg	1:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
12.04.26	Celta de Vigo - Real Oviedo	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.04.26	Freiburg - Celta de Vigo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga
26.04.26	Real Oviedo - Elche	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Elche - Atlético Madrid	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Elche - Valencia	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Rayo Vallecano - Elche	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Aston Villa - Elche	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
28.09.25	Elche - Celta de Vigo	2:1
26.04.23	Celta de Vigo - Elche	1:0
06.01.23	Elche - Celta de Vigo	0:1
15.05.22	Celta de Vigo - Elche	1:0
03.10.21	Elche - Celta de Vigo	1:0
12.02.21	Celta de Vigo - Elche	3:1
06.11.20	Elche - Celta de Vigo	1:1

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