Match Info

LaLiga - Round 32

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)

Referee: Quintero A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 2
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	ESPN 4
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN 4
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 4
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 4
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 4
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	Discovery+, TV12, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Tajikistan	Futbol TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 4, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV Online, VTVcab


	Villarreal		Celta de Vigo

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.6	3.8	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.6
	1.95	3.7	3.7
	1.97	3.8	4.06
	1.89	3.73	3.99	Watch
	1.85	3.75	3.6
	1.94	3.78	3.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.76)	3.68 ↓ (3.96)	3.82 ↓ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal
49.2%

Draw
25.9%

Celta de Vigo
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

24%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

23.6%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villarreal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.6%	11.9%	4.5%

Villarreal - Celta de Vigo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Villarreal (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Celta (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Villarreal will win (53 of 64 users predict this - 82.81%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.57% – 92.05%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Villarreal will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Villarreal (votes: 4 - 80%). Celta (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Tenas A. (G) 3. Freeman A. 4. Marin R. 12. Veiga R. 24. Pedraza A. 19. Pepe N. 14. Comesana S. 18. Gueye P. 20. Moleiro A. 7. Moreno G. (C) 9. Mikautadze G.	13. Radu I. (G) 32. Rodriguez J. 29. Lago Y. 20. Alonso M. 3. Mingueza O. 22. Sotelo H. 6. Moriba I. 5. Carreira S. 18. Duran P. 23. Alvarez H. 7. Iglesias B. (C)
Substitutes
23. Cardona S. 2. Costa L. 11. Gonzalez A. 5. Kambwala W. 32. Lopez H. 1. Luiz Junior (G) 6. Navarro P. 21. Oluwaseyi T. 10. Parejo D. 16. Partey T. 22. Perez A.	36. Antanon A. 10. Aspas I. 24. Dominguez C. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 12. Fernandez M. 30. Gonzalez H. 9. Jutgla F. 8. Lopez F. 14. Nunez A. 21. Ristic M. 17. Rueda J. 1. Villar I. (G)
Coaches
Marcelino G.	Giraldez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Moreno G. (Penalty Awarded),
14', Alonso M. 🟨,
18', Pedraza A. 🟨,
29', 2 - 0, Pepe N. ⚽, Pedraza A. (A),
29', Radu I. 🟨,
42', Pepe N. 🟨,
45+3', Duran P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Duran P. ↓, Jutgla F. ↑,
70', Gueye P. 🟨,
73', 2 - 1, Iglesias B. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Iglesias B. 🟨,
76', Alonso M. ↓, Aspas I. ↑,
76', Sotelo H. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
76', Alvarez H. ↓, Nunez A. ↑,
78', Gueye P. ↓, Parejo D. ↑,
78', Pepe N. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
78', Pedraza A. ↓, Cardona S. ↑,
83', Iglesias B. ↓, Gonzalez H. ↑,
85', Mikautadze G. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
90+2', Moleiro A. ↓, Partey T. ↑,
90+4', Moriba I. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 2.

In recent matches, Villarreal has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Celta is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Celta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Villarreal has had a series of away games.

Villarreal will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Villarreal: Cabanes P. (Knee Injury) Costa L. (Knee Injury) Foyth J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Celta: Roman M. (Foot Injury) Starfelt C. (Back Injury) Swedberg W. (Calf Injury) Vecino M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Villarreal: Buchanan T. (Injury) Mourino S. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 39:29. (average 2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Villarreal won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 2.8:1.9).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Villarreal: 0.45% Celta Vigo: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13:12	1	8
15	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8:6	2	7

Last Results with these Odds

Villarreal - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 54%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
23.04.26	Real Oviedo - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Girona - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
20.03.26	Villarreal - Real Sociedad	3:1 ✺
13.03.26	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWLWT
- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
22.04.26	Barcelona - Celta de Vigo	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.04.26	Celta de Vigo - Freiburg	1:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
12.04.26	Celta de Vigo - Real Oviedo	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.04.26	Freiburg - Celta de Vigo	3:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
05.04.26	Valencia - Celta de Vigo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
31.08.25	Celta de Vigo - Villarreal	1:1
23.04.25	Celta de Vigo - Villarreal	3:0
26.08.24	Villarreal - Celta de Vigo	4:3
05.05.24	Celta de Vigo - Villarreal	3:2
20.12.23	Villarreal - Celta de Vigo	3:2
30.04.23	Villarreal - Celta de Vigo	3:1
13.01.23	Celta de Vigo - Villarreal	1:1

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