The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Talavera de la Reina 40.6%
Draw 30.3%
Celta de Vigo B 29.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.8%
29%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.7%
29.1%
32.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Celta de Vigo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Talavera de la Reina - Celta de Vigo B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez J. (G) 11. Gallardo Rodriguez E. 5. Molina S. 4. Lopez A. 2. Cuenca D. 20. Ferni 18. Capo P. 14. Molina A. 16. Navarro I. 21. Montero Sergio 9. Moreno M.
1. Carrillo J. B. (G) 2. Gavian P. 6. Meixus P. 26. Rodriguez A. 4. Vazquez J. 11. Arcos A. 16. Capdevila A. 8. Antanon A. 19. Marcos O. 18. Lopez J. 9. Marin A.
Substitutes
7. Di Renzo G. 23. Farrando M. 19. Gomez V. 6. Pitu 13. Rocafort R. (G) 3. Roig A. 26. Sanchez J. 8. Sanchez L.
30. Barreiros I. 21. Bilbao L. 13. Caio Barone (G) 10. de la Iglesia D. 23. Miller G. 22. Ndiaye S. M. 3. Ribes K. 29. Sobral M. 17. Somuah B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Ferni 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Navarro I. ⚽,
30', Capo P. ↓, Pitu ↑,
33', Vazquez J. 🟨,
40', Vazquez J. ↓, Miller G. ↑,
45+3', Meixus P. 🟨,
45+4', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ferni ↓, Roig A. ↑,
46', Capdevila A. ↓, de la Iglesia D. ↑,
46', Lopez J. ↓, Somuah B. ↑,
70', Cuenca D. ↓, Farrando M. ↑,
70', Molina A. ↓, Sanchez L. ↑,
73', Marin A. ↓, Bilbao L. ↑,
80', Antanon A. ↓, Barreiros I. ↑,
80', Montero Sergio ↓, Gomez V. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Arcos A. ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Talavera won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Talavera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Talavera won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.4:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Talavera won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Celta de Vigo B - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.21%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Spain
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Gonzalez J. (G) 
Di Renzo G. 
Caio Barone (G) 
Miller G. 
Ndiaye S. M. 
Somuah B. 
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