Match Info

Date: 18 August 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Celtic		AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.8	4.2	Watch
	1.72	3.8	4.2
	1.8	3.9	4
	1.72	3.9	4.1
	1.72	4.11	4.47
	1.73	3.5	4
	1.76	3.84	4.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.05)	3.84 ↑ (3.61)	4.19 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Celtic
53.5%

Draw
24.3%

AZ Alkmaar
22.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.4%

25.8%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

17.3%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Celtic's performance.

AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AZ Alkmaar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (-23.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Celtic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+20.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AZ Alkmaar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	10.2%	11.2%

Celtic - AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Users Predictions: Celtic will win (77 of 98 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.45% – 86.69%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Preview

1st leg.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Celtic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently AZ have a series of home games.

Celtic will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celtic
Scottish League Cup
15.08.21	Celtic - Hearts	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.08.21	Celtic - Jablonec	3:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
08.08.21	Celtic - Dundee	6:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
05.08.21	Jablonec - Celtic	2:4 ✺
Scottish Premier League
31.07.21	Hearts - Celtic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWL
- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
14.08.21	Waalwijk - AZ Alkmaar	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.08.21	AZ Alkmaar - Torino	2:1 ✺
31.07.21	AZ Alkmaar - Real Sociedad	1:0 ✺
28.07.21	AZ Alkmaar - OFI	2:0 ✺
25.07.21	AZ Alkmaar - Panathinaikos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celtic
Scottish Premier League
01.11.26	Falkirk - Celtic	✺
28.10.26	Celtic - Dundee United	✺
- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
31.10.26	Ajax - AZ Alkmaar	✺

Celtic - AZ Alkmaar