Match Info

Premiership - Round 23

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Tynecastle Park (Edinburgh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
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Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
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Hungary	Net4+
Ireland	NOW
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	Como TV
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV4
Serbia	Arena Sport 7
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 5
Turkey	S Sport+
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go
Usa	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+


	Hearts		Celtic

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.4	2.1	Watch
	2.75	3.4	2.37
	3.15	3.35	2.18	Watch
	3.37	3.53	2.29
	3.25	3.49	2.18	Watch
	3	3.25	2.25
	3.43	3.46	2.17	Watch
	3.1	3.33	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.63)	3.4 ↓ (3.64)	2.22 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hearts
29.8%

Draw
27.7%

Celtic
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

26%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

27%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hearts's form might have worsened.

Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	5.3%	73.7%

Hearts - Celtic Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Hearts will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Celtic will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celtic: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Celtic (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Celtic (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Celtic will win (10 of 13 users predict this - 76.92%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Hearts (votes: 3 - 20%). Celtic (votes: 12 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gordon C. (G) 15. Steinwender M. 4. Halkett C. (C) 19. Findlay S. 5. McCart J. 49. Leonard M. 18. Milne H. 10. Braga C. 22. Magnusson T. 89. Kyziridis A. 11. Kabore P.	1. Schmeichel K. (G) 22. Araujo J. 6. Trusty A. 5. Scales L. 63. Tierney K. 27. Engels A. 42. McGregor C. (C) 8. Nygren B. 13. Yang Hyun-Jun 11. Cvancara T. 38. Maeda D.
Substitutes
40. Ageu 23. Altena J. 7. Kabangu E. 2. Kent F. 29. Kerjota S. 31. McEntee O. 25. Schwolow A. (G) 16. Spittal B. 21. Wilson J.	28. Bernardo P. 51. Donovan C. 49. Forrest J. 41. Hatate R. 14. McCowan L. 47. Murray D. 56. Ralston A. 12. Sinisalo V. (G) 23. Tounekti S.
Coaches
McInnes D.	O'Neill Ma.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Nygren B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Findlay S. ⚽, Leonard M. (A),
62', 1 - 2, Yang Hyun-Jun ⚽, Cvancara T. (A),
64', Cvancara T. 🟨,
65', Magnusson T. 🟨,
66', Cvancara T. ↓, Tounekti S. ↑,
71', McCart J. ↓, McEntee O. ↑,
71', Magnusson T. ↓, Kerjota S. ↑,
73', Tierney K. ↓, Murray D. ↑,
77', Trusty A. 🟥,
77', Yang Hyun-Jun ↓, Ralston A. ↑,
79', Araujo J. 🟨,
82', McEntee O. 🟨,
86', Steinwender M. ↓, Spittal B. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Braga C. ⚽, McEntee O. (A),
89', Findlay S. 🟨,
89', McGregor C. 🟨,
89', Engels A. 🟨,
90+4', Kabore P. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
90+7', Tounekti S. 🟨,
90+8', Schmeichel K. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 2.

Hearts has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Celtic is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Celtic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Celtic will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Hearts: Ageu (Hamstring Injury) Baningime B. (Red Card) McEntee O. (Inactive) Nieuwenhof C. (Injury) Pollock F. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Celtic: Carter-Vickers C. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Iheanacho K. (Hamstring Injury) Johnston A. (Hamstring Injury) Jota (Knee Injury) Osmand C. (Hamstring Injury) Saracchi M. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Hearts: Kingsley S. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 24:47. (average 1.2:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Hearts won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 1.4:2.3).

Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now

Celtic: 51.13% Hearts: 4.66%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Celtic	8	7	0	1	16:4	12	21
3	Hearts	8	5	1	2	19:8	11	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heart of Midlothian
Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Hearts - Falkirk	1:2 penalties ✺
Scottish Premier League
14.01.26	Hearts - St. Mirren	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Dundee - Hearts	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Hearts - Livingston	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Hibernian - Hearts	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWWL
- Celtic
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Bologna - Celtic	2:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
18.01.26	Auchinleck Talbot - Celtic	0:2 ✺
Scottish Premier League
14.01.26	Falkirk - Celtic	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Celtic - Dundee United	4:0 ✺
03.01.26	Celtic - Glasgow Rangers	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
07.12.25	Celtic - Hearts	1:2
26.10.25	Hearts - Celtic	3:1
29.03.25	Celtic - Hearts	3:0
23.11.24	Hearts - Celtic	1:4
14.09.24	Celtic - Hearts	2:0
04.05.24	Celtic - Hearts	3:0
03.03.24	Hearts - Celtic	2:0

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