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Stuttgart vs Freiburg Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, April 23, 2026)

Match Info

DFB Pokal - Semi-finals

Date: 23 April 2026, Thursday

Location: MHPArena (Stuttgart)

Referee: Welz T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, DStv Now, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, SupeSport ESPN 1
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Servus TV, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
Belarus	Sport TV
Bolivia	ESPN 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Disney+
Ecuador	ESPN 4
Finland	Disney+, Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	ARD, Das Erste, DFB Play, Servus TV, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport News, Sky Sport Top Event, tv.dfb.de, WOW
Greece	ERT 2, ERT Sports 2
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hungary	Selekt, Sport 2
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Sports, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	Disney+, VG+
Pakistan	Tapmad
Paraguay	ESPN 4
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 4
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
Spain	Gol Play, GolStadium
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1, Abu Dhabi Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, ESPNU
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 4, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 22
World	Onefootball


	Stuttgart		Freiburg

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.2	4.75	Watch
	1.65	4.15	4.95
	1.66	4.4	5.02
	1.62	4.44	4.89	Watch
	1.6	4	4.6
	1.69	4.47	5.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 (1.64)	4.28 ↑ (4.18)	4.87 ↓ (4.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stuttgart
58.1%

Draw
22.3%

Freiburg
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

22.7%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

24.9%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stuttgart, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.8%	3.8%	15.4%

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Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stuttgart (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Stuttgart will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nubel A. (G) 3. Hendriks R. 24. Chabot J. 7. Mittelstadt M. 18. Leweling J. 16. Karazor A. (C) 6. Stiller A. 10. Fuhrich C. 26. Undav D. 28. Nartey N. 9. Demirovic E.	21. Muller F. (G) 29. Treu P. 28. Ginter M. 3. Lienhart P. 33. Makengo J. 8. Eggestein M. 44. Manzambi J. 19. Beste J. 14. Suzuki Y. 32. Grifo V. (C) 31. Matanovic I.
Substitutes
30. Andres C. 22. Assignon L. 27. Bouanani B. 1. Bredlow F. (G) 11. El Khannouss B. 14. Jaquez L. 8. Tomas T. 4. Vagnoman J. 23. Zagadou D.	1. Atubolu N. (G) 30. Gunter C. 27. Hofler N. 9. Holer L. 22. Irie C. 17. Kubler L. 43. Ogbus B. 26. Philipp M. 7. Scherhant D.
Coaches
Hoeness S.	Schuster J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Makengo J. 🟨,
15', Nartey N. 🟨,
17', Manzambi J. 🟨,
17', Leweling J. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Eggestein M. ⚽, Ginter M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Grifo V. 🟨,
63', Nartey N. ↓, El Khannouss B. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Undav D. ⚽, El Khannouss B. (A),
71', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
74', Matanovic I. 🟨,
84', Matanovic I. ↓, Holer L. ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
91', Demirovic E. ↓, Tomas T. ↑,
94', Holer L. 🟨,
95', Hendriks R. 🟨,
98', Hendriks R. ↓, Jaquez L. ↑,
101', Makengo J. ↓, Gunter C. ↑,
102', Beste J. ↓, Kubler L. ↑,
113', Treu P. ↓, Ogbus B. ↑,
118', Fuhrich C. ↓, Bouanani B. ↑,
118', Undav D. ↓, Vagnoman J. ↑,
119', 2 - 1, Tomas T. ⚽, Bouanani B. (A),
120+1', Tomas T. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 3.

Stuttgart has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Freiburg is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Stuttgart may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Stuttgart is the team to beat.

There will not play in Stuttgart: Jeltsch F. (Injury) Jovanovic L. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Freiburg: Osterhage P. (Knee Injury) Rosenfelder M. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 41:29. (average 2.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Stuttgart won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:11. (average 2.2:1).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Stuttgart
German Bundesliga
19.04.26	Bayern Munich - Stuttgart	4:2 ✺
12.04.26	Stuttgart - Hamburger SV	4:0 ✺
04.04.26	Stuttgart - Borussia Dortmund	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Augsburg - Stuttgart	2:5 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.03.26	Porto - Stuttgart	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWL
- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
19.04.26	Freiburg - Heidenheim	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.04.26	Celta de Vigo - Freiburg	1:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
12.04.26	Mainz - Freiburg	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.04.26	Freiburg - Celta de Vigo	3:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
04.04.26	Freiburg - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
01.02.26	Stuttgart - Freiburg	1:0
13.09.25	Freiburg - Stuttgart	3:1
18.01.25	Stuttgart - Freiburg	4:0
24.08.24	Freiburg - Stuttgart	3:1
03.02.24	Freiburg - Stuttgart	1:3
02.09.23	Stuttgart - Freiburg	5:0
11.02.23	Freiburg - Stuttgart	2:1

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