Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 4

Date: 5 November 2024, Tuesday

Location: Central Coast Stadium (Gosford)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports Asian Cup 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 2
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Go, Sooka
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-korea	Tving
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Central Coast Mariners		Shanghai Shenhua

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.7	3.4	2.45
	2.65	3.4	2.5
	2.73	3.46	2.54
	2.69	3.47	2.47	Watch
	2.7	3.4	2.3
	2.74	3.5	2.47	Watch
	2.65	3.4	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (2.9)	3.43 ↑ (3.42)	2.46 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Coast Mariners
34.7%

Draw
27.3%

Shanghai Shenhua
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

27.2%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

26.7%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Coast Mariners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Shanghai Shenhua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	25%	66.7%

Central Coast Mariners - Shanghai Shenhua Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Central Coast will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Shanghai Shenhua will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shanghai Shenhua: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Peraic-Cullen D. (G) 27. Kuzevski S. 24. Herrington D. 3. Kaltack B. (C) 33. Paull N. 12. Mauragis L. 16. Steele H. 8. McCalmont A. 10. Mikael Doka 99. Edmondson R. 11. Vitor Feijao	30. Bao Yaxiong (G) 13. Manafa W. 4. Jiang Shenglong 5. Zhu C. (C) 27. Chan Shinichi 7. Xu Haoyang 14. Xie Pengfei 10. Teixeira J. 17. Gao T. 33. Wang Haijian 9. Andre Luis
Substitutes
37. Brandtman B. 36. Eames H. 17. James Ngor S. 9. Kuol A. 1. Pavlesic A. (G) 15. Roux S. 44. Scicluna L. 5. Smith N. 42. Smith R. 30. Warshawsky J. (G) 28. Wilson W.	36. Fei Ernanduo 32. Fulangxisi Aidi 3. Jin Shunkai 34. Liu C. 1. Ma Zhen (G) 31. Wang Y. 15. Wu Xi 43. Yang Haoyu 16. Yang Zexiang 20. Yu Hanchao 29. Zhou Junchen
Coaches
Jackson M.	Slutski L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Kaltack B. 🟨,
5', Xie Pengfei ↓, Yu Hanchao ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Manafa W. ↓, Yang Zexiang ↑,
50', 0 - 1, Andre Luis ⚽, Yu Hanchao (A),
58', Edmondson R. ↓, Kuol A. ↑,
58', Vitor Feijao ↓, Brandtman B. ↑,
64', Xu Haoyang ↓, Wu Xi ↑,
64', 0 - 2, Yu Hanchao ⚽, Chan Shinichi (A),
72', Herrington D. ↓, Eames H. ↑,
72', Kuzevski S. ↓, James Ngor S. ↑,
75', 1 - 2, James Ngor S. ⚽,
79', Chan Shinichi ↓, Fulangxisi Aidi ↑,
80', Teixeira J. 🟨,
80', James Ngor S. 🟨,
82', Andre Luis ↓, Liu C. ↑,
85', McCalmont A. ↓, Wilson W. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Brandtman B. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Central Coast is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Shanghai Shenhua is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League
02.11.24	Central Coast Mariners - Perth Glory	0:0 ✺
26.10.24	Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
22.10.24	Shanghai Port - Central Coast Mariners	3:2 ✺
Australian A-League
18.10.24	Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory	0:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
01.10.24	Central Coast Mariners - Buriram United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 TTLTL
- Shanghai Shenhua
Chinese Super League
02.11.24	Chengdu Rongcheng - Shanghai Shenhua	1:2 ✺
27.10.24	Shanghai Shenhua - Shenzhen Peng City	2:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
23.10.24	Shanghai Shenhua - Kawasaki Frontale	2:0 ✺
Chinese Super League
18.10.24	Shanghai Shenhua - Henan Songshan Longmen	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
01.10.24	Johor Darul Takzim - Shanghai Shenhua	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTWWL

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