The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Central Coast Mariners 19.6%
Draw 22%
Melbourne Victory 58.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.6%
25.5%
48.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.6%
25.5%
48.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Central Coast Mariners's form might have worsened.
Melbourne Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne Victory's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Central Coast Mariners, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Victory, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.5%
9.5%
81%
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Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Users Predictions:
Melbourne Victory will win
(17 of 20 users predict this - 85%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Melbourne Victory will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 23 - 92%). Tie (votes: 2 - 8%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Redmayne A. (G) 15. Roux S. 2. Donachie J. 3. Paull N. 5. Mauragis L. 11. James Ngor S. 8. McCalmont A. 48. Donnell C. 72. Auglah A. 23. Lavale O. 10. Di Pizio M.
40. Warshawsky J. (G) 22. Rawlins J. 15. Esposito S. 4. Jackson L. 2. Davidson J. 27. D'Arrigo L. 10. Genreau D. 14. Grimaldi M. 64. Mata J. 11. Clarismario 9. Vergos N.
Substitutes
18. Blair N. 6. Eames H. 43. Nasso J. 40. Peraic-Cullen D. (G) 17. Taniguchi K. 26. Tapp B. 7. Theoharous C.
25. Duncan J. (G) 23. Jelacic K. 44. Nduka C. 19. Reec J. 21. Roderick 8. Valadon J. 17. Velupillay N.
Coaches
Moon W.
Diles A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Auglah A. ⚽, Di Pizio M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Clarismario ↓, Velupillay N. ↑,
46', Genreau D. ↓, Valadon J. ↑,
55', Paull N. 🟥,
58', James Ngor S. ↓, Tapp B. ↑,
61', Donachie J. 🟨,
71', Grimaldi M. ↓, Jelacic K. ↑,
71', Vergos N. ↓, Nduka C. ↑,
71', Lavale O. ↓, Blair N. ↑,
72', Auglah A. ↓, Nasso J. ↑,
80', Mauragis L. 🟨,
82', D'Arrigo L. ↓, Reec J. ↑,
90', Reec J. 🟨,
90+3', Di Pizio M. ↓, Theoharous C. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Central Coast may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Melbourne Victory has had a series of home games.
In this match, Melbourne Victory is the team to beat.
There will not play in Central Coast: Brandtman B.
(Inactive)
Sainsbury T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Hamill B.
(Knee Injury)
Roderick
(Leg Injury)
There are questionable in Melbourne Victory: Esposito S.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:35. (average 1.3:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Central Coast won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:12. (average 1.7:1.3).
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Last Results with these Odds
Melbourne Victory - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 48.9%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Asia
Australia
Finland
Hong-kong
India
Indonesia
Malaysia
Mongolia
New-zealand
Philippines
Singapore
Thailand
United-kingdom
Usa
Vietnam
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Redmayne A. (G) 
Roux S. 
McCalmont A. 
Mata J. 
Clarismario 
Vergos N. 
Taniguchi K. 
Roderick 
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