The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Central Español 34.2%
Draw 30.6%
Danubio 35.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.5%
27.7%
35.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.2%
26.5%
34.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Central Español has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Español than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Central Español - Danubio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
31', 0 - 1, Tizon C. ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, Ferreira M. ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 3, Cabrera E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', 0 - 4, Cabrera E. ⚽,
75', 0 - 5, Pereira B. ⚽,
88', 0 - 6, Piriz D. ⚽,
Preview
Central Español is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Danubio has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Recently, Central Español has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Central Español has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:3 (averaging 1.2:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Central Español against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1:0.7 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Danubio - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.81%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.
South America
Uruguay
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