Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Parque Palermo (Montevideo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gonzalez L. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	18:30	Disney+
Brazil	18:30	Disney+
Mexico	15:30	Disney+
Peru	16:30	Disney+
Uruguay	18:30	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	17:30	Disney+


	Central Español		Nacional Montevideo

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.70	1.55	Watch
	5.25	3.80	1.57
	4.90	3.65	1.60
	6.45	4.02	1.57
	5.6	3.91	1.59	Watch
	6.35	3.80	1.55
	5.86	3.77	1.58	Watch
	5.40	3.80	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.7 ↓ (6.14)	3.81 ↓ (4.02)	1.57 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Español
16.3%

Draw
24.5%

Nacional Montevideo
59.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.2%

23.1%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7%

22.3%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Español has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Español than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Central Español - Nacional Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marquez E. (G) 17. Fernandez L. 2. Rodriguez I. 14. Villoldo A. 26. Cesar Nunes 24. Gandolfo G. 4. Montiel M. 8. Camarda F. 21. Pino L. 10. Aguilera M. 9. Tarragona R.	22. Martin A. (G) 37. Rodriguez L. 4. Coates S. (C) 5. Calvo F. 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 6. Boggio L. 23. Rodriguez L. 21. Candido C. 39. Gonzalez L. 9. Gomez M. 29. Correa T.
Substitutes
22. Aramburu E. 20. Dellarossa J. 3. Dupont J. 25. Madruga A. 16. Mendez I. 32. Montoro F. 7. Munoz F. 12. Pintado F. (G) 15. Pou J. 27. Sosa F.	13. Ancheta E. 40. Bianchi J. (G) 20. Botta R. 14. Martinez A. 31. Martinez R. 7. Rodriguez N. 2. Rogel A. 8. Silva S. 11. Silvera M. 27. Veron T.
Coaches
Pacheco A.	Carreno D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Aguilera M. 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Correa T. ⚽,
30', Marquez E. ↓, Pintado F. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
70', Montiel M. ↓, Munoz F. ↑,
70', Tarragona R. ↓, Dellarossa J. ↑,
73', Gonzalez L. ↓, Botta R. ↑,
77', Aguilera M. ↓, Montoro F. ↑,
77', Camarda F. ↓, Sosa F. ↑,
79', Correa T. ↓, Veron T. ↑,
87', Gomez M. ↓, Silvera M. ↑,
87', Martirena Torres G. N. ↓, Ancheta E. ↑,
89', Dellarossa J. 🟨,
90+1', Coates S. 🟨,
90+4', Botta R. 🟨,

Preview

Central Español is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Nacional is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Central Español could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Nacional carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Central Español has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:4 (averaging 0.7:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Central Español against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Nacional	12	7	2	3	17:12	5	23

Last Results with these Odds

Nacional Montevideo - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 61.7%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Español
Uruguayan Primera Division
03.10.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Central Español	3:0 ✺
27.09.26	Central Español - Liverpool Montevideo	1:2 ✺
21.09.26	Central Español - Montevideo City Torque	1:4 ✺
Uruguay Copa
17.09.26	Central Español - Oriental de La Paz	1:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
12.09.26	Cerro Largo - Central Español	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTT
- Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
05.10.26	Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Cerro Largo - Nacional Montevideo	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Nacional Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	3:2 ✺
Uruguay Copa
16.09.26	Progreso - Nacional Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
12.09.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Nacional Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
03.04.26	Nacional Montevideo - Central Español	0:1
10.03.13	Nacional Montevideo - Central Español	2:1
14.09.12	Central Español - Nacional Montevideo	0:2

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