Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Central Español		Nacional Montevideo

	1	X	2
	6.00	4.00	1.44	Watch
	5.25	3.90	1.55
	5.60	3.80	1.52
	5.24	4.09	1.58
	5.4	4.11	1.55	Watch
	5.10	4.00	1.55
	5.48	3.82	1.51	Watch
	4.90	3.90	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.37 ↓ (6.14)	3.95 ↓ (4.02)	1.54 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Español
17.1%

Draw
23.2%

Nacional Montevideo
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.2%

23.1%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7%

22.3%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Español has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Español than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Central Español - Nacional Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Central Español is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Nacional is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Central Español may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nacional enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Central Español has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:4 (averaging 0.7:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Central Español against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Nacional	9	5	2	2	13:9	4	17

Last Results with these Odds

Nacional Montevideo - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 61.7%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Español
Uruguayan Primera Division
03.10.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Central Español	3:0 ✺
27.09.26	Central Español - Liverpool Montevideo	1:2 ✺
21.09.26	Central Español - Montevideo City Torque	1:4 ✺
Uruguay Copa
17.09.26	Central Español - Oriental de La Paz	1:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
12.09.26	Cerro Largo - Central Español	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTT
- Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
05.10.26	Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Cerro Largo - Nacional Montevideo	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Nacional Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	3:2 ✺
Uruguay Copa
16.09.26	Progreso - Nacional Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
12.09.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Nacional Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
03.04.26	Nacional Montevideo - Central Español	0:1
10.03.13	Nacional Montevideo - Central Español	2:1
14.09.12	Central Español - Nacional Montevideo	0:2

Central Español - Nacional Montevideo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide