Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 5

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Parque Palermo (Montevideo)

Referee: Andrade L. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Central Español		Defensor Sporting

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.00	2.25	Watch
	3.00	3.10	2.20
	3.25	3.05	2.14
	3.24	3.08	2.51
	3.22	3.05	2.35	Watch
	3.10	3.00	2.45
	3.12	3.12	2.34	Watch
	2.95	3.05	2.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.8)	3.06 ↑ (3)	2.32 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Español
29.8%

Draw
30.3%

Defensor Sporting
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

30.1%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

29.2%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Español has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Español than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Central Español - Defensor Sporting Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Defensor Sporting will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pintado F. (G) 10. Aguilera M. 26. Cesar Nunes 17. Fernandez L. 5. Gonzalez M. 25. Madruga A. 16. Mendez I. 4. Montiel M. 21. Pino L. 27. Sosa F. 9. Tarragona R.	12. Dawson K. (G) 11. Agazzi L. 30. Cuello E. 3. De los Santos G. 24. de los Santos L. 2. Elizalde E. 15. Frugone A. 26. Montenegro B. 29. Pozzo T. A. 4. Rodriguez G. 22. Torterolo A.
Substitutes
30. Alonso M. 22. Aramburu E. 12. Benitez A. (G) 8. Camarda F. 20. Dellarossa J. 3. Dupont J. 77. Mereles E. 7. Munoz F. 19. Sequeira S. 6. Urrutia M.	25. Abella D. 5. Barrios G. 20. Caballero M. 77. Castro F. 1. Machado L. (G) 9. Neris J. 16. Perdomo A. 55. Rabunal M. 21. Scotti N. 8. Wunsch N.
Coaches
Pacheco A.	Larriera M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Pozzo T. A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Cesar Nunes 🟨,
57', Montenegro B. (Penalty Awarded),
63', Pozzo T. A. ↓, Barrios G. ↑,
63', Cuello E. ↓, Wunsch N. ↑,
65', Mendez I. ↓, Munoz F. ↑,
65', Sosa F. ↓, Camarda F. ↑,
73', Tarragona R. ↓, Dellarossa J. ↑,
75', Montenegro B. ↓, Neris J. ↑,
75', Torterolo A. ↓, Scotti N. ↑,
77', 0 - 1, Wunsch N. ⚽,
80', Frugone A. 🟨,
80', de los Santos L. ↓, Rabunal M. ↑,
83', Aguilera M. ↓, Mereles E. ↑,
83', Madruga A. ↓, Alonso M. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Montiel M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Español won 2.

Recent performances by Central Español have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Defensor Sporting is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Central Español may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Defensor Sporting has had a series of home games.

Defensor Sporting will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Central Español won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Central Español won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Español
Uruguay Copa
02.09.26	Central Español - Juventud de Las Piedras	3:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
28.08.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Central Español	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	Central Español - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Central Español	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Central Español - Progreso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLLW
- Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Primera Division
29.08.26	Defensor Sporting - Montevideo City Torque	1:3 ✺
Uruguay Copa
25.08.26	Defensor Sporting - Rentistas	0:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
22.08.26	Cerro Largo - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Defensor Sporting - Liverpool Montevideo	0:4 ✺
09.08.26	Defensor Sporting - Montevideo Wanderers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
17.05.26	Central Español - Defensor Sporting	2:1
08.03.26	Defensor Sporting - Central Español	0:0
Uruguay Copa
02.10.25	Defensor Sporting - Central Español	2:0
Uruguayan Segunda Division
04.10.21	Central Español - Defensor Sporting	1:0
25.06.21	Defensor Sporting - Central Español	4:0
Uruguayan Primera Division
21.04.13	Defensor Sporting - Central Español	2:1
28.10.12	Central Español - Defensor Sporting	1:1

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