Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 2

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel (Maldonado)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Central Español		Peñarol de Montevideo

	1	X	2
	7	3.6	1.45	Watch
	6.25	4.1	1.44
	6.9	4.25	1.41
	6.91	4.58	1.45
	6.87	4.57	1.43	Watch
	7	4.2	1.4
	7.75	4.46	1.4	Watch
	7	4.25	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.96 ↓ (9.5)	4.25 ↓ (4.82)	1.43 ↑ (1.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Español
13.3%

Draw
21.8%

Peñarol de Montevideo
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.6%

19%

71.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Español has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peñarol de Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Central Español - Peñarol de Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Central Español will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Peñarol will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Rodolfo (G) 17. Fernandez L. 13. Ponce L. 14. Villoldo A. (C) 3. Dupont J. 4. Montiel M. 7. Munoz F. 24. Gandolfo G. 8. Camarda F. 30. Alonso M. 9. Tarragona R.	1. Britos S. (G) 21. Jesus Trindade (C) 4. Gularte E. 6. Ferreira L. 22. Angulo L. 32. Umpierrez L. 5. Remedi E. 23. Togni G. 10. Fernandez L. 9. Batista F. 19. Arezo M.
Substitutes
15. Cantera M. 23. Gonella I. 1. Marquez E. (G) 16. Mendez I. 10. Muniz R. 26. Nunes C. 29. Pino L. 27. Sosa F. 20. Vera D. 18. Yocco F.	28. Alegre I. 40. Alvarez B. 55. Couture L. 12. Diaz L. (G) 80. Gonzalez F. 35. Gonzalez L. 25. Gonzalez M. 26. Madruga A. 30. Muhlethaler S. 14. Rodriguez K.
Coaches
de Ambrosio P.	Aguirre D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Montiel M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', Fernandez L. 🟨,
57', 1 - 0, Gandolfo G. ⚽,
60', Ferreira L. 🟨,
61', Angulo L. 🟨,
65', Montiel M. ↓, Pino L. ↑,
65', Fernandez L. ↓, Cantera M. ↑,
66', Angulo L. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Pino L. ⚽,
75', Alonso M. ↓, Cesar Nunes ↑,
75', Umpierrez L. ↓, Muhlethaler S. ↑,
75', Batista F. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
83', Camarda F. ↓, Sosa F. ↑,
83', Togni G. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Arezo M. ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Peñarol has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Peñarol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Peñarol has had a series of home games.

In this match, Peñarol is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Central Español won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Central Español won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Penarol	9	6	2	1	15:6	9	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Español
Uruguayan Primera Division
07.02.26	Progreso - Central Español	0:3 ✺
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
12.01.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Central Español	1:0 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
26.10.25	Albion Montevideo - Central Español	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Central Español - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Rampla Juniors - Central Español	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WLTWW
- Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
07.02.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	3:1 ✺
Uruguayan Super Cup
01.02.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	1:0 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
23.01.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Boston River	2:3 penalties ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
21.01.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Colo-Colo	1:2 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
19.01.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
12.01.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Central Español	1:0 penalties
Uruguayan Primera Division
29.03.13	Central Español - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:3
06.10.12	Peñarol de Montevideo - Central Español	3:0

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