Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 4

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Parque Palermo (Montevideo)

Referee: Olmos A. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Central Español		Montevideo Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.88	2.9	Watch
	2.45	2.92	2.92
	2.74	2.95	3.08
	2.63	2.89	2.97	Watch
	2.45	2.8	3.1
	2.38	2.99	3.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.86)	2.91 ↓ (2.96)	3.03 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Español
37.2%

Draw
32.1%

Montevideo Wanderers
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

31.6%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Español has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Central Español - Montevideo Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Central Español will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Central Español (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Rodolfo (G) 17. Fernandez L. 13. Ponce L. 14. Villoldo A. (C) 26. Cesar Nunes 24. Gandolfo G. 7. Munoz F. 4. Montiel M. 10. Muniz R. 27. Sosa F. 9. Tarragona R.	1. Buffa A. (G) 8. Furtado N. 13. Formiliano F. (C) 23. Olivera Moreira L. N. 15. Mencia Hernandez D. J. 31. Freitas G. 5. Queiroz N. 16. Alberti J. 11. Luna J. 70. Levato M. 7. Rivero R.
Substitutes
30. Alonso M. 28. Campos N. 15. Cantera M. 1. Marquez E. (G) 16. Mendez I. 25. Milan F. 21. Pino L. 2. Rodriguez I. 6. Urrutia M. 20. Vera D.	14. Acosta M. 18. Baju L. 21. Benitez S. 17. Garcia A. 26. Guzman S. 12. Rio J. (G) 9. Roque R. 24. Suarez P. 6. Zazpe L. 19. Zeballos J.
Coaches
de Ambrosio P.	Corujo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Freitas G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Mencia Hernandez D. J. 🟨,
69', Villoldo A. 🟨,
69', 0 - 1, Rivero R. (Penalty Awarded),
71', Muniz R. ↓, Alonso M. ↑,
71', Munoz F. ↓, Pino L. ↑,
71', Sosa F. ↓, Campos N. ↑,
71', Levato M. ↓, Zeballos J. ↑,
71', Mencia Hernandez D. J. ↓, Baju L. ↑,
76', Pino L. 🟨,
79', Rivero R. ↓, Zazpe L. ↑,
81', Montiel M. ↓, Milan F. ↑,
87', Fernandez L. ↓, Vera D. ↑,
87', Alberti J. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
87', Luna J. ↓, Benitez S. ↑,
90', Rodolfo 🟨,
90+1', Baju L. 🟨,
90+2', Furtado N. 🟨,
90+3', Buffa A. 🟨,
90+6', Zazpe L. 🟨,

Preview

Wanderers is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Wanderers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Wanderers has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Central Español won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Central Español won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Wanderers	9	4	3	2	12:11	1	15

Last Results with these Odds

Montevideo Wanderers - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.79%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Español
Uruguayan Primera Division
22.02.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Central Español	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Central Español - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Progreso - Central Español	0:3 ✺
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
12.01.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Central Español	1:0 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
26.10.25	Albion Montevideo - Central Español	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.8 WWWLT
- Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division
22.02.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Montevideo City Torque	0:4 ✺
13.02.26	Cerro Largo - Montevideo Wanderers	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
22.01.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Universidad de Concepción	1:2 ✺
16.01.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Independiente	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
16.03.13	Central Español - Montevideo Wanderers	0:1
23.09.12	Montevideo Wanderers - Central Español	0:0

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