Match Info

USA: USL League One

Date: 27 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Toyota Stadium (Georgetown, KY)

Where to Watch on TV:


North-central-america	ESPNPlay Caribbean
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Lexington		Richmond Kickers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.45
	2.45	3.4	2.5
	2.5	3.5	2.58
	2.5	3.46	2.5	Watch
	2.56	3.48	2.56	Watch
	2.49	3.4	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.51)	3.42 ↑ (3.35)	2.51 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lexington
36.8%

Draw
26.8%

Richmond Kickers
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

27.2%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

27.1%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

The chances for Richmond Kickers have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Richmond Kickers than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Lexington - Richmond Kickers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Knight A. (G) 21. Young C. 44. Mendez M. 6. Caputo A. 12. Corrales J. (C) 16. Uche C. 11. Cerritos A. 8. Yankam Y. 77. Brown N. 9. Liadi A. 32. Diouf A.	1. Jara P. (G) 4. Fitch S. 14. Franca 17. Vaughan J. 5. Schenfeld M. 11. Sierakowski R. 27. O'Dwyer C. 2. Barnathan D. 20. Billhardt A. 10. Vinyals N. (C) 32. Terzaghi E.
Substitutes
14. Agboola M. 23. Campuzano N. (G) 7. Cano I. 5. Fox K. 17. Lancaster C. 25. Mane P. 2. Robertson T.	24. Aune N. 9. Bosua A. 38. Garnett G. 8. Joao Gomiero 7. Johnson L. 13. Shellow R. (G) 19. Sukow J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Franca 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Liadi A. ⚽, Yankam Y. (A),
44', Vaughan J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 1 - 1, Billhardt A. ⚽,
48', 2 - 1, Diouf A. ⚽, Brown N. (A),
51', O'Dwyer C. 🟨,
54', Liadi A. 🟨,
62', Franca ↓, Aune N. ↑,
62', Vaughan J. ↓, Sukow J. ↑,
66', Cerritos A. ↓, Lancaster C. ↑,
66', Yankam Y. ↓, Mane P. ↑,
67', Diouf A. 🟨,
86', Sierakowski R. ↓, Johnson L. ↑,
86', Diouf A. ↓, Robertson T. ↑,
87', Young C. ↓, Cano I. ↑,
90', Cano I. 🟨,
90+1', Billhardt A. ↓, Joao Gomiero ↑,
90+8', Brown N. ↓, Fox K. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 10).

Lexington is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Richmond Kickers is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lexington won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Lexington won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lexington SC
USL Cup
20.07.24	Forward Madison - Lexington	1:0 ✺
USL League One
13.07.24	Lexington - South Georgia Tormenta	1:2 ✺
06.07.24	Lexington - Union Omaha	2:4 ✺
USL Cup
29.06.24	Greenville Triumph - Lexington	0:1 ✺
USL League One
23.06.24	Spokane Velocity - Lexington	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LLLWT
- Richmond Kickers
USL Cup
20.07.24	Richmond Kickers - Greenville Triumph	0:2 ✺
USL League One
13.07.24	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Richmond Kickers	3:1 ✺
03.07.24	Richmond Kickers - Forward Madison	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
29.06.24	Charlotte Independence - Richmond Kickers	2:3 penalties ✺
USL League One
22.06.24	Richmond Kickers - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
26.08.23	Lexington - Richmond Kickers	1:0
29.07.23	Lexington - Richmond Kickers	2:2
20.05.23	Richmond Kickers - Lexington	2:1

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