Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Segra Field (Leesburg, VA)

Referee: Jensen B. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Loudoun United		North Carolina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	3.55	3.6
	1.84	3.76	3.86
	1.82	3.80	3.78	Watch
	1.87	3.58	3.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.8)	3.67 ↓ (3.82)	3.75 ↓ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Loudoun United
50%

Draw
25.2%

North Carolina
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

24.3%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

23.7%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loudoun United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

North Carolina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Loudoun United - North Carolina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Jack R. (G) 3. Tingey K. 26. Glasgow O. 16. Turner C. 6. Awuah K. 21. Akinyode B. 4. McCabe T. 12. Skundrich D. (C) 10. Valot F. 14. Ryan Z. 9. Ordonez A.	22. Semmle O. (G) 66. Sundstrom F. 27. Washington B. 20. Donovan C. (C) 11. Burner P. 6. Roberts T. 44. Sommersall R. 15. Maldonado M. 13. Perez L. 8. Pedro Becker 9. Anderson O.
Substitutes
11. Aboukoura A. 15. Bidois R. 22. Dambrot R. 89. Herrera-Rauda L. (G) 13. Nagy A. 8. Nyeman M. 17. Santos P.	19. Al Qaq A. 5. Craig P. 16. Da Costa R. 23. Forbes J. 55. Hodge T. 1. McGuire J. (G) 24. Mulqueen T. (G)
Coaches
Martin R.	Bradford J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Sundstrom F. 🟨,
32', Perez L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Tingey K. 🟨,
58', 0 - 1, Anderson O. ⚽,
64', Ryan Z. ↓, Bidois R. ↑,
76', Pedro Becker 🟨,
76', Glasgow O. ↓, Santos P. ↑,
89', McCabe T. 🟨,
90+1', Anderson O. ↓, Al Qaq A. ↑,

Preview

Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )

North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

North Carolina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Loudoun is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Loudoun won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Loudoun United
USL Championship
18.10.25	Indy Eleven - Loudoun United	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Detroit City - Loudoun United	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Loudoun United - Birmingham Legion	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Loudoun United - Tampa Bay Rowdies	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Phoenix Rising - Loudoun United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWLTT
- North Carolina FC
USL Championship
18.10.25	North Carolina - Rhode Island	0:0 ✺
10.10.25	North Carolina - Phoenix Rising	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Detroit City - North Carolina	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Birmingham Legion - North Carolina	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	North Carolina - Miami	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

USL Cup
26.07.25	North Carolina - Loudoun United	2:1 penalties
USL Championship
15.03.25	North Carolina - Loudoun United	1:2
14.05.24	North Carolina - Loudoun United	2:0
16.03.24	Loudoun United - North Carolina	3:1
US Open Cup
05.04.23	Loudoun United - North Carolina	2:1
USL Championship
31.08.19	Loudoun United - North Carolina	4:0
17.07.19	North Carolina - Loudoun United	3:0

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