The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Centro Español 43.3%
Draw 31.1%
Mercedes 25.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52%
30%
18%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.3%
29.3%
17.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Centro Español has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Centro Español's form might have worsened.
Mercedes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mercedes's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Centro Español than the current prediction. (+10%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Centro Español, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mercedes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.9%
0%
11.1%
Centro Español - Mercedes Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Centro Español (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Centro Español will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%). Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Canete G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', Medaglia E. 🟥,
60', 0 - 2, Sanchez Olmos L. ⚽,
88', Pineda M. H. 🟥,
90+5', 0 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Centro Español won 2.
Centro Español is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Mercedes has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Centro Español is the team to beat.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Centro Español won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Centro Español won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).
Argentina
Watch
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